AISTATS 2025 Papers

International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics

Decision breakdown

583papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

  • Oral
    376.3%
  • Poster
    54693.7%

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On the Convergence of Locally Adaptive and Scalable Diffusion-Based Sampling Methods for Deep Bayesian Neural Network Posteriors

Tim Rensmeyer, Oliver Niggemann

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Achieving robust uncertainty quantification for deep neural networks represents an important requirement in many real-world applications of deep learning such as medical imaging where it is necessary to assess the reliability of a neural network's prediction. Bayesian neural networks are a promising approach for modeling uncertainties in deep neural networks. Unfortunately, generating samples from the posterior distribution of neural networks is a major challenge. One significant advance in that direction would be the incorporation of adaptive step sizes, similar to modern neural network optimizers, into Monte Carlo Markov chain sampling algorithms without significantly increasing computational demand. Over the past years, several papers have introduced sampling algorithms with corresponding theorems stating that they achieve this property. In this paper, we demonstrate that these methods can have a substantial bias in the distribution they sample, even in the limit of vanishing step sizes and at full batch size. Furthermore, for most of the algorithms, we show that convergence to the correct distribution can be restored with a simple fix at the cost of increasing computational demand.

Poster
TRADE: Transfer of Distributions between External Conditions with Normalizing Flows

Stefan Wahl, Armand Rousselot, Felix Draxler, Ullrich Koethe

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Modeling distributions that depend on external control parameters is a common scenario in diverse applications like molecular simulations, where system properties like temperature affect molecular configurations. Despite the relevance of these applications, existing solutions are unsatisfactory as they require severely restricted model architectures or rely on energy-based training, which is prone to instability. We introduce TRADE, which overcomes these limitations by formulating the learning process as a boundary value problem. By initially training the model for a specific condition using either i.i.d.~samples or backward KL training, we establish a boundary distribution. We then propagate this information across other conditions using the gradient of the unnormalized density with respect to the external parameter. This formulation, akin to the principles of physics-informed neural networks, allows us to efficiently learn parameter-dependent distributions without restrictive assumptions. Experimentally, we demonstrate that TRADE achieves excellent results in a wide range of applications, ranging from Bayesian inference and molecular simulations to physical lattice models.

Poster
Personalized Convolutional Dictionary Learning of Physiological Time Series

Axel Roques, Samuel Gruffaz, Kyurae Kim, Alain Oliviero Durmus, Laurent Oudre

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Human physiological signals tend to exhibit both global and local structures: the former are shared across a population, while the latter reflect inter-individual variability. For instance, kinetic measurements of the gait cycle during locomotion present common characteristics, although idiosyncrasies may be observed due to biomechanical disposition or pathology. To better represent datasets with local-global structure, this work extends Convolutional Dictionary Learning (CDL), a popular method for learning interpretable representations, or dictionaries, of time-series data. In particular, we propose Personalized CDL (PerCDL), in which a local dictionary models local information as a personalized spatiotemporal transformation of a global dictionary. The transformation is learnable and can combine operations such as time-warping and rotation. Formal computational and statistical guarantees for PerCDL are provided and its effectiveness on synthetic and real human locomotion data is demonstrated.

Poster
Learning Laplacian Positional Encodings for Heterophilous Graphs

Michael Ito, Jiong Zhu, Dexiong Chen, Danai Koutra, Jenna Wiens

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In this work, we theoretically demonstrate that current graph positional encodings (PEs) are not beneficial and could potentially hurt performance in tasks involving heterophilous graphs, where nodes that are close tend to have different labels. This limitation is critical as many real-world networks exhibit heterophily, and even highly homophilous graphs can contain local regions of strong heterophily. To address this limitation, we propose Learnable Laplacian Positional Encodings (LLPE), a new PE that leverages the full spectrum of the graph Laplacian, enabling them to capture graph structure on both homophilous and heterophilous graphs. Theoretically, we prove LLPE's ability to approximate a general class of graph distances and demonstrate its generalization properties. Empirically, our evaluation on 12 benchmarks demonstrates that LLPE improves accuracy across a variety of GNNs, including graph transformers, by up to 35% and 14% on synthetic and real-world graphs, respectively. Going forward, our work represents a significant step towards developing PEs that effectively capture complex structures in heterophilous graphs.

Poster
Risk-sensitive Bandits: Arm Mixture Optimality and Regret-efficient Algorithms

Meltem Tatlı, Arpan Mukherjee, Prashanth L A, Karthikeyan Shanmugam, Ali Tajer

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This paper introduces a general framework for risk-sensitive bandits that integrates the notions of risk-sensitive objectives by adopting a rich class of {\em distortion riskmetrics}. The introduced framework subsumes the various existing risk-sensitive models. An important and hitherto unknown observation is that for a wide range of riskmetrics, the optimal bandit policy involves selecting a \emph{mixture} of arms. This is in sharp contrast to the convention in the multi-arm bandit algorithms that there is generally a \emph{solitary} arm that maximizes the utility, whether purely reward-centric or risk-sensitive. This creates a major departure from the principles for designing bandit algorithms since there are uncountable mixture possibilities. The contributions of the paper are as follows: (i) it formalizes a general framework for risk-sensitive bandits, (ii) identifies standard risk-sensitive bandit models for which solitary arm selections is not optimal, (iii) and designs regret-efficient algorithms whose sampling strategies can accurately track optimal arm mixtures (when mixture is optimal) or the solitary arms (when solitary is optimal). The algorithms are shown to achieve a regret that scales according to $O((\log T/T )^{\nu})$, where $T$ is the horizon, and $\nu>0$ is a riskmetric-specific constant.

Poster
Learning the Distribution Map in Reverse Causal Performative Prediction

Daniele Bracale, Subha Maity, Yuekai Sun, Moulinath Banerjee

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In numerous predictive scenarios, the predictive model affects the sampling distribution; for example, job applicants often meticulously craft their resumes to navigate through a screening system. Such shifts in distribution are particularly prevalent in social computing, yet, the strategies to learn these shifts from data remain remarkably limited. Inspired by a microeconomic model that adeptly characterizes agents' behavior within labor markets, we introduce a novel approach to learning the distribution shift. Our method is predicated on a \emph{reverse causal model}, wherein the predictive model instigates a distribution shift exclusively through a finite set of agents' actions. Within this framework, we employ a microfoundation model for the agents' actions and develop a statistically justified methodology to learn the distribution shift map, which we demonstrate to effectively minimize the performative prediction risk.

Poster
HR-Bandit: Human-AI Collaborated Linear Recourse Bandit

Junyu Cao, Ruijiang Gao, Esmaeil Keyvanshokooh

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Human doctors frequently recommend actionable recourses that allow patients to modify their conditions to access more effective treatments. Inspired by such healthcare scenarios, we propose the Recourse Linear UCB (\textsf{RLinUCB}) algorithm, which optimizes both action selection and feature modifications by balancing exploration and exploitation. We further extend this to the Human-AI Linear Recourse Bandit (\textsf{HR-Bandit}), which integrates human expertise to enhance performance. \textsf{HR-Bandit} offers three key guarantees: (i) a warm-start guarantee for improved initial performance, (ii) a human-effort guarantee to minimize required human interactions, and (iii) a robustness guarantee that ensures sublinear regret even when human decisions are suboptimal. Empirical results, including a healthcare case study, validate its superior performance against existing benchmarks.

Poster
DDEQs: Distributional Deep Equilibrium Models through Wasserstein Gradient Flows

Jonathan Geuter, Clément Bonet, Anna Korba, David Alvarez-Melis

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Deep Equilibrium Models (DEQs) are a class of implicit neural networks that solve for a fixed point of a neural network in their forward pass. Traditionally, DEQs take sequences as inputs, but have since been applied to a variety of data. In this work, we present Distributional Deep Equilibrium Models (DDEQs), extending DEQs to discrete measure inputs, such as sets or point clouds. We provide a theoretically grounded framework for DDEQs. Leveraging Wasserstein gradient flows, we show how the forward pass of the DEQ can be adapted to find fixed points of discrete measures under permutation-invariance, and derive adequate network architectures for DDEQs. In experiments, we show that they can compete with state-of-the-art models in tasks such as point cloud classification and point cloud completion, while being significantly more parameter-efficient.

Poster
Counting Graphlets of Size k under Local Differential Privacy

Vorapong Suppakitpaisarn, Donlapark Ponnoprat, Nicha Hirankarn, Quentin Hillebrand

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The problem of counting subgraphs or graphlets under local differential privacy is an important challenge that has attracted significant attention from researchers. However, much of the existing work focuses on small graphlets like triangles or $k$-stars. In this paper, we propose a non-interactive, locally differentially private algorithm capable of counting graphlets of any size $k$. When $n$ is the number of nodes in the input graph, we show that the expected $\ell_2$ error of our algorithm is $O(n^{k - 1})$. Additionally, we prove that there exists a class of input graphs and graphlets of size $k$ for which any non-interactive counting algorithm incurs an expected $\ell_2$ error of $\Omega(n^{k - 1})$, demonstrating the optimality of our result. Furthermore, we establish that for certain input graphs and graphlets, any locally differentially private algorithm must have an expected $\ell_2$ error of $\Omega(n^{k - 1.5})$. Our experimental results show that our algorithm is more accurate than the classical randomized response method.

Poster
Class Imbalance in Anomaly Detection: Learning from an Exactly Solvable Model

Francesco Saverio Pezzicoli, Valentina Ros, François P. Landes, Marco Baity-Jesi

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Class imbalance (CI) is a longstanding problem in machine learning, slowing down training and reducing performances. Although empirical remedies exist, it is often unclear which ones work best and when, due to the lack of an overarching theory. We address a common case of imbalance, that of anomaly (or outlier) detection. We provide a theoretical framework to analyze, interpret and address CI. It is based on an exact solution of the teacher-student perceptron model, through replica theory. Within this framework, one can distinguish several sources of CI: either intrinsic, train or test imbalance. Our analysis reveals that, depending on the specific problem setting, one source or another might dominate. We further find that the optimal train imbalance is generally different from 50%, with a non trivial dependence on the intrinsic imbalance, the abundance of data and on the noise in the learning. Moreover, there is a crossover between a small noise training regime where results are independent of the noise level to a high noise regime where performances quickly degrade with noise. Our results challenge some of the conventional wisdom on CI and pave the way for integrated approaches to the topic.

Poster
Distance Estimation for High-Dimensional Discrete Distributions

Kuldeep S Meel, Gunjan Kumar, Yash Pote

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Given two distributions $\mathcal{P}$ and $\mathcal{Q}$ over a high-dimensional domain $\{0,1\}^n$, and a parameter $\varepsilon$, the goal of distance estimation is to determine the statistical distance between $\mathcal{P}$ and $\mathcal{Q}$, up to an additive tolerance $\pm \varepsilon$. Since exponential lower bounds (in $n$) are known for the problem in the standard sampling model, research has focused on richer query models where one can draw conditional samples. This paper presents the first polynomial query distance estimator in the conditional sampling model ($\mathsf{COND}$). We base our algorithm on the relatively weaker \textit{subcube conditional} sampling ($\mathsf{SUBCOND}$) oracle, which draws samples from the distribution conditioned on some of the dimensions. $\mathsf{SUBCOND}$ is a promising model for widespread practical use because it captures the natural behavior of discrete samplers. Our algorithm makes $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(n^3/\varepsilon^5)$ queries to $\mathsf{SUBCOND}$.

Poster
Reinforcement Learning with Intrinsically Motivated Feedback Graph for Lost-sales Inventory Control

Zifan LIU, Xinran Li, Shibo Chen, Gen Li, Jiashuo Jiang, Jun Zhang

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Reinforcement learning (RL) has proven to be well-performed and versatile in inventory control (IC). However, further improvement of RL algorithms in the IC domain is impeded by two limitations of online experience. First, online experience is expensive to acquire in real-world applications. With the low sample efficiency nature of RL algorithms, it would take extensive time to collect enough data and train the RL policy to convergence. Second, online experience may not reflect the true demand due to the lost-sales phenomenon typical in IC, which makes the learning process more challenging. To address the above challenges, we propose a training framework that combines reinforcement learning with feedback graph (RLFG) and intrinsically motivated exploration (IME) to boost sample efficiency. In particular, we first leverage the MDP structure inherent in lost-sales IC problems and design the feedback graph (FG) tailored to lost-sales IC problems to generate abundant side experiences aiding in RL updates. Then we conduct a rigorous theoretical analysis of how the designed FG reduces the sample complexity of RL methods. Guided by these insights, we design an intrinsic reward to direct the RL agent to explore to the state-action space with more side experiences, further exploiting FG’s capability. Experimental results on single-item, multi-item, and multi-echelon environments demonstrate that our method greatly improves the sample efficiency of applying RL in IC. Our code is available at https://github.com/Ziffer-byakuya/RLIMFG4IC

Poster
Evidential Uncertainty Probes for Graph Neural Networks

Linlin Yu, Kangshuo Li, Pritom Kumar Saha, Yifei Lou, Feng Chen

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Accurate quantification of both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties is essential when deploying Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) in high-stakes applications such as drug discovery and financial fraud detection, where reliable predictions are critical. Although Evidential Deep Learning (EDL) efficiently quantifies uncertainty using a Dirichlet distribution over predictive probabilities, existing EDL-based GNN (EGNN) models require modifications to the network architecture and retraining, failing to take advantage of pre-trained models. We propose a plug-and-play framework for uncertainty quantification in GNNs that works with pre-trained models without the need for retraining. Our Evidential Probing Network (EPN) uses a lightweight Multi-Layer-Perceptron (MLP) head to extract evidence from learned representations, allowing efficient integration with various GNN architectures. We further introduce evidence-based regularization techniques, referred to as EPN-reg, to enhance the estimation of epistemic uncertainty with theoretical justifications. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed EPN-reg achieves state-of-the-art performance in accurate and efficient uncertainty quantification, making it suitable for real-world deployment.

Poster
Nonparametric Factor Analysis and Beyond

Yujia Zheng, Yang Liu, Jiaxiong Yao, Yingyao Hu, Kun Zhang

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Nearly all identifiability results in unsupervised representation learning inspired by, e.g., independent component analysis, factor analysis, and causal representation learning, rely on assumptions of additive independent noise or noiseless regimes. In contrast, we study the more general case where noise can take arbitrary forms, depend on latent variables, and be non-invertibly entangled within a nonlinear function. We propose a general framework for identifying latent variables in the nonparametric noisy settings. We first show that, under suitable conditions, the generative model is identifiable up to certain submanifold indeterminacies even in the presence of non-negligible noise. Furthermore, under the structural or distributional variability conditions, we prove that latent variables of the general nonlinear models are identifiable up to trivial indeterminacies. Based on the proposed theoretical framework, we have also developed corresponding estimation methods and validated them in various synthetic and real-world settings. Interestingly, our estimate of the true GDP growth from alternative measurements suggests more insightful information on the economies than official reports. We expect our framework to provide new insight into how both researchers and practitioners deal with latent variables in real-world scenarios.

Poster
Differentially Private Graph Data Release: Inefficiencies & Unfairness

Ferdinando Fioretto, Diptangshu Sen, Juba Ziani

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Networks in sectors like telecommunications and transportation often contain sensitive user data, requiring privacy enhancing technologies during data release to ensure privacy. While Differential Privacy (DP) is recognized as the leading standard for privacy preservation, its use comes with new challenges, as the noise added for privacy introduces inaccuracies or biases. DP techniques have also been found to distribute these biases disproportionately across different populations, inducing fairness issues. This paper investigates the effects of DP on bias and fairness when releasing network edge weights. We specifically examine how these privacy measures affect decision-making tasks, such as computing shortest paths, which are crucial for routing in transportation and communications networks, and provide both theoretical insights and empirical evidence on the inherent trade-offs between privacy, accuracy, and fairness for network data release.

Poster
Sequential Kernelized Stein Discrepancy

Diego Martinez-Taboada, Aaditya Ramdas

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We present a sequential version of the kernelized Stein discrepancy goodness-of-fit test, which allows for conducting goodness-of-fit tests for unnormalized densities that are continuously monitored and adaptively stopped. That is, the sample size need not be fixed prior to data collection; the practitioner can choose whether to stop the test or continue to gather evidence at any time while controlling the false discovery rate. In stark contrast to related literature, we do not impose uniform boundedness on the Stein kernel. Instead, we exploit the potential boundedness of the Stein kernel at arbitrary point evaluations to define test martingales, that give way to the subsequent novel sequential tests. We prove the validity of the test, as well as an asymptotic lower bound for the logarithmic growth of the wealth process under the alternative. We further illustrate the empirical performance of the test with a variety of distributions, including restricted Boltzmann machines.

Poster
Sampling from Bayesian Neural Network Posteriors with Symmetric Minibatch Splitting Langevin Dynamics

Daniel Paulin, Peter A. Whalley, Neil K. Chada, Benedict J. Leimkuhler

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We propose a scalable kinetic Langevin dynamics algorithm for sampling parameter spaces of big data and AI applications. Our scheme combines a symmetric forward/backward sweep over minibatches with a symmetric discretization of Langevin dynamics. For a particular Langevin splitting method (UBU), we show that the resulting Symmetric Minibatch Splitting-UBU (SMS-UBU) integrator has bias $\mathcal{O}(h^2 d^{1/2})$ in dimension $d>0$ with stepsize $h>0$, despite only using one minibatch per iteration, thus providing excellent control of the sampling bias as a function of the stepsize. We apply the algorithm to explore local modes of the posterior distribution of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) and evaluate the calibration performance of the posterior predictive probabilities for neural networks with convolutional neural network architectures for classification problems on three different datasets (Fashion-MNIST, Celeb-A and chest X-ray). Our results indicate that BNNs sampled with SMS-UBU can offer significantly better calibration performance compared to standard methods of training and stochastic weight averaging.

Poster
Clustered Invariant Risk Minimization

Tomoya Murata, Atsushi Nitanda, Taiji Suzuki

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This study extends the problem settings of Invariant Risk Minimization(IRM) for Out-of-Distribution generalization problems to unknown clustered environments settings. In this scenario, where a given set of environments exhibits an unknown clustered structure, our objective is to identify a single invariant feature extractor and per-cluster regressors (or classifiers) built on top of the feature extractor. To achieve this, we propose a new framework called Clustered IRM for simultaneously identifying the cluster structure and the invariant features. Our theoretical analysis demonstrates that the required number of training environments for such identification is only $O(d_\mathrm{sp} + K^2)$, where $d_\mathrm{sp}$ represents the dimensionality of the spurious features, and $K$ is the number of clusters. Numerical experiments validate the effectiveness of our proposed framework.

Poster
MING: A Functional Approach to Learning Molecular Generative Models

Van Khoa Nguyen, Maciej Falkiewicz, Giangiacomo Mercatali, Alexandros Kalousis

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Traditional molecule generation methods often rely on sequence- or graph-based representations, which can limit their expressive power or require complex permutation-equivariant architectures. This paper introduces a novel paradigm for learning molecule generative models based on functional representations. Specifically, we propose Molecular Implicit Neural Generation (MING), a diffusion-based model that learns molecular distributions in the function space. Unlike standard diffusion processes in the data space, MING employs a novel functional denoising probabilistic process, which jointly denoises information in both the function's input and output spaces by leveraging an expectation-maximization procedure for latent implicit neural representations of data. This approach enables a simple yet effective model design that accurately captures underlying function distributions. Experimental results on molecule-related datasets demonstrate MING's superior performance and ability to generate plausible molecular samples, surpassing state-of-the-art data-space methods while offering a more streamlined architecture and significantly faster generation times. The code is available at https://github.com/v18nguye/MING.

Poster
Signature Isolation Forest

Marta Campi, Guillaume Staerman, Gareth W. Peters, Tomoko Masui

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Functional Isolation Forest (FIF) is a recent state-of-the-art Anomaly Detection (AD) algorithm designed for functional data. It relies on a tree partition procedure where an abnormality score is computed by projecting each curve observation on a drawn dictionary through a linear inner product. Such linear inner product and the dictionary are a priori choices that highly influence the algorithm's performances and might lead to unreliable results, particularly with complex datasets. This work aims to target such challenges by introducing Signature Isolation Forest, a novel class of AD algorithm leveraging the signature transform arising from rough path theory. Our objective is to remove the constraints imposed by FIF through the proposition of two algorithms which specifically target the linearity of the FIF inner product and the choice of the dictionary. We provide several numerical experiments, including a real-world applications benchmark showing the relevance of our methods.

Poster