AISTATS 2025 Papers

International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics

Decision breakdown

583papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

  • Oral
    376.3%
  • Poster
    54693.7%

Top 10 topics (click to filter)

No topic data yet.

Trends for all 207 research topics

Browse all papers

Adaptive Convergence Rates for Log-Concave Maximum Likelihood

Gil Kur, Aditya Guntuboyina

Expand abstract

We study the task of estimating a log-concave density in $\mathbb{R}^d$ using the Maximum Likelihood Estimator, known as the log-concave MLE. We show that for every $d \geq 4$, the log-concave MLE attains an \emph{adaptive rate} when the negative logarithm of the underlying density is the maximum of $k$ affine functions, meaning that the estimation error for such a density is significantly lower than the minimax rate for the class of log-concave densities. Specifically, we prove that for such densities, the risk of the log-concave MLE is of order $c(k) \cdot n^{-\frac{4}{d}}$ in terms of the Hellinger squared distance. This result complements the work of (Kim et al. AoS 2018) and Feng et al. (AoS 2021), who addressed the cases $d = 1$ and $d \in \{2,3\}$, respectively. Our proof provides a unified and relatively simple approach for all $d \geq 1$, and is based on techniques from stochastic convex geometry and empirical process theory, which may be of independent interest.

Poster
How Well Can Transformers Emulate In-Context Newton's Method?

Angeliki Giannou, Liu Yang, Tianhao Wang, Dimitris Papailiopoulos, Jason D. Lee

Expand abstract

Transformer-based models have demonstrated remarkable in-context learning capabilities, prompting extensive research into its underlying mechanisms. Recent studies have suggested that Transformers can implement first-order optimization algorithms for in-context learning and even second order ones for the case of linear regression. In this work, we study whether Transformers can perform higher order optimization methods, beyond the case of linear regression. We establish that linear attention Transformers with ReLU layers can approximate second order optimization algorithms for the task of logistic regression and achieve $\epsilon$ error with only a logarithmic to the error more layers. Our results suggest the ability of the Transformer architecture to implement complex algorithms, beyond gradient descent.

Poster
On Preference-based Stochastic Linear Contextual Bandits with Knapsacks

Xin Liu

Expand abstract

This paper studies the problem of preference-based stochastic linear contextual bandits with knapsack constraints (PbLinCBwK). We propose budget-aware optimistic and randomized exploration algorithms that achieve a regret of ${O}((\kappa+\frac{T\nu^*}{B})\sqrt{T}\log T),$ for any total budget $B=\Omega(\sqrt{T}).$ The parameters $\kappa$ and $\frac{T\nu^*}{B}$ capture the effects of preference feedback and knapsack constraints, respectively. Our regret performance is near-optimal and matches the bound of LinCBwK under the mild condition $B=\Omega(\sqrt{T}).$ To achieve these results, we view the process of budget consumption and stopping time as Markov processing and analyze it via the Lyapunov drift method, which is translated into the strong regret guarantee. The experiments on synthetic PbLinCBwK and online content moderation setting further justify the theoretical results.

Poster
Efficient Estimation of a Gaussian Mean with Local Differential Privacy

Nikita Kalinin, Lukas Steinberger

Expand abstract

In this paper, we study the problem of estimating the unknown mean $\theta$ of a unit variance Gaussian distribution in a locally differentially private (LDP) way. In the high-privacy regime ($\epsilon\le 1$), we identify an optimal privacy mechanism that minimizes the variance of the estimator asymptotically. Our main technical contribution is the maximization of the Fisher-Information of the sanitized data with respect to the local privacy mechanism $Q$. We find that the exact solution $Q_{\theta,\epsilon}$ of this maximization is the sign mechanism that applies randomized response to the sign of $X_i-\theta$, where $X_1,\dots, X_n$ are the confidential iid original samples. However, since this optimal local mechanism depends on the unknown mean $\theta$, we employ a two-stage LDP parameter estimation procedure which requires splitting agents into two groups. The first $n_1$ observations are used to consistently but not necessarily efficiently estimate the parameter $\theta$ by $\tilde{\theta_{n_1}}$. Then this estimate is updated by applying the sign mechanism with $\tilde{\theta}_{n_1}$ instead of $\theta$ to the remaining $n-n_1$ observations, to obtain an LDP and efficient estimator of the unknown mean.

Poster
Large Covariance Matrix Estimation With Nonnegative Correlations

Yixin Yan, QIAO YANG, Ziping Zhao

Expand abstract

Covariance matrix estimation is a fundamental problem in multivariate data analysis. In many situations, it is often observed that variables exhibit a positive linear dependency, indicating a positive linear correlation. This paper tackles the challenge of estimating covariance matrices with positive correlations in high-dimensional settings. We propose a positive definite thresholding covariance estimation problem that includes nonconvex sparsity penalties and nonnegative correlation constraints. To address this problem, we introduce a multistage adaptive estimation algorithm based on majorization-minimization (MM). This algorithm progressively refines the estimates by solving a weighted $\ell_{1}$-regularized problem at each stage. Additionally, we present a comprehensive theoretical analysis that characterizes the estimation error associated with the estimates generated by the MM algorithm. The analysis reveals that the error comprises two components: the optimization error and the statistical error. The optimization error decreases to zero at a linear rate, allowing the proposed estimator to eventually reach the oracle statistical rate under mild conditions. Furthermore, we explore various extensions based on the proposed estimation technique. Our theoretical findings are supported by extensive numerical experiments conducted on both synthetic and real-world datasets. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the proposed estimation technique can be expanded to the correlation matrix estimation scenario. Our theoretical findings are corroborated through extensive numerical experiments on both synthetic data and real-world datasets.

Poster
Theory of Agreement-on-the-Line in Linear Models and Gaussian Data

Christina Baek, Aditi Raghunathan, J Zico Kolter

Expand abstract

Under distribution shifts, deep networks exhibit a surprising phenomenon: in-distribution (ID) versus out-of-distribution (OOD) accuracy is often strongly linearly correlated across architectures and hyperparameters, accompanied by the same linear trend in ID versus OOD agreement between the predictions of any pair of such independently trained networks. The latter phenomenon called ``agreement-on-the-line'' enables precise unlabeled OOD performance estimation of models. In this work, we discover that agreement-on-the-line emerges even in linear classifiers over Gaussian class conditional distributions. We provide theoretical guarantees for this phenomenon in classifiers optimized via randomly initialized gradient descent, approximated by linear interpolations between random vectors and the Bayes-optimal classifier. Next, we prove a lower bound on the residual of the correlation between ID versus OOD agreement that grows proportionally with the residual of accuracy. Real-world experiments on CIFAR10C shifts, validate our findings and the broader relevance of our theoretical framework.

Poster
DPFL: Decentralized Personalized Federated Learning

Salma Kharrat, Marco Canini, Samuel Horváth

Expand abstract

This work addresses the challenges of data heterogeneity and communication constraints in decentralized federated learning (FL). We introduce decentralized personalized FL (DPFL), a bi-level optimization framework that enhances personalized FL by leveraging combinatorial relationships among clients, enabling fine-grained and targeted collaborations. By employing a constrained greedy algorithm, DPFL constructs a collaboration graph that guides clients in choosing suitable collaborators, enabling personalized model training tailored to local data while respecting a fixed and predefined communication and resource budget. Our theoretical analysis demonstrates that the proposed objective for constructing the collaboration graph yields superior or equivalent performance compared to any alternative collaboration structures, including pure local training. Extensive experiments across diverse datasets show that DPFL consistently outperforms existing methods, effectively handling non-IID data, reducing communication overhead, and improving resource efficiency in real-world decentralized FL scenarios. The code can be accessed at: https://github.com/salmakh1/DPFL.

Poster
Sketch-and-Project Meets Newton Method: Global $O(1/k^2)$ Convergence with Low-Rank Updates

Slavomir Hanzely

Expand abstract

In this paper, we propose the first sketch-and-project Newton method with the fast $O(1/k^2$) global convergence rate for self-concordant functions. Our method, SGN, can be viewed in three ways: i) as a sketch-and-project algorithm projecting updates of the Newton method, ii) as a cubically regularized Newton method in the sketched subspaces, and iii) as a damped Newton method in the sketched subspaces. SGN inherits the best of all three worlds: the cheap iteration costs of the sketch-and-project methods, the state-of-the-art $O(1/k^2)$ global convergence rate of the full-rank Newton-like methods, and the algorithm simplicity of the damped Newton methods. Finally, we demonstrate its comparable empirical performance to the baseline algorithms.

Poster
A Computation-Efficient Method of Measuring Dataset Quality based on the Coverage of the Dataset

Beomjun Kim, Jaehwan Kim, Kangyeon Kim, Sunwoo Kim, Heejin Ahn

Expand abstract

Evaluating dataset quality is an essential task, as the performance of artificial intelligence (AI) systems heavily depends on it. A traditional method for evaluating dataset quality involves training an AI model on the dataset and testing it on a separate test set. However, this approach requires significant computational time. In this paper, we propose a computationally efficient method for quantifying dataset quality. Specifically, our method measures how well the dataset covers the input probability distribution, ensuring that a high-quality dataset minimizes out-of-distribution inputs. We present a GPU-accelerated algorithm for approximately implementing the proposed method. We highlight three applications of our approach. First, it can evaluate the impact of data management practices, such as data cleaning and core set selection. We experimentally demonstrate that the quality assessment provided by our method strongly correlates with the traditional approach, achieving an $R^2 \geq 0.985$ in most cases while being 60-1200 times faster. Second, it can monitor the quality of continuously growing datasets with computation time proportional to the added data size. Finally, our method can estimate the performance of traditional methods for large datasets.

Poster
Analyzing the Role of Permutation Invariance in Linear Mode Connectivity

Keyao Zhan, Puheng Li, Lei Wu

Expand abstract

It was empirically observed in Enterazi et al. (2021) that when accounting for the permutation invariance of neural networks, there is likely no loss barrier along the linear interpolation between two SGD solutions -- a phenomenon known as linear mode connectivity (LMC) modulo permutation. This phenomenon has sparked significant attention due to both its theoretical interest and practical relevance in applications such as model merging. In this paper, we provide a fine-grained analysis of this phenomenon for two-layer ReLU networks under a teacher-student setup. We show that as the student network width $m$ increases, the LMC loss barrier modulo permutation exhibits a double descent behavior. Particularly, when $m$ is sufficiently large, the barrier decreases to zero at a rate $O(m^{-1/2})$. Notably, this rate does not suffer from the curse of dimensionality and demonstrates how substantial permutation can reduce the LMC loss barrier. Moreover, we observe a sharp transition in the sparsity of GD/SGD solutions when increasing the learning rate and investigate how this sparsity preference affects the LMC loss barrier modulo permutation. Experiments on both synthetic and MNIST datasets corroborate our theoretical predictions and reveal a similar trend for more complex network architectures.

Poster
Global Group Fairness in Federated Learning via Function Tracking

Yves Rychener, Daniel Kuhn, Yifan Hu

Expand abstract

We investigate group fairness regularizers in federated learning, aiming to train a globally fair model in a distributed setting. Ensuring global fairness in distributed training presents unique challenges, as fairness regularizers typically involve probability metrics between distributions across all clients and are not naturally separable by client. To address this, we introduce a function-tracking scheme for the global fairness regularizer based on a Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD), which incurs a small communication overhead. This scheme seamlessly integrates into most federated learning algorithms while preserving rigorous convergence guarantees, as demonstrated in the context of FedAvg. Additionally, when enforcing differential privacy, the kernel-based MMD regularization enables straightforward analysis through a change of kernel, leveraging an intuitive interpretation of kernel convolution. Numerical experiments confirm our theoretical insights.

Poster
Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Bayesian Optimization with Continuous Context

Francesco Micheli, Efe C. Balta, Anastasios Tsiamis, John Lygeros

Expand abstract

We address the challenge of sequential data-driven decision-making under context distributional uncertainty. This problem arises in numerous real-world scenarios where the learner optimizes black-box objective functions in the presence of uncontrollable contextual variables. We consider the setting where the context distribution is uncertain but known to lie within an ambiguity set defined as a ball in the Wasserstein distance. We propose a novel algorithm for Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Bayesian Optimization that can handle continuous context distributions while maintaining computational tractability. Our theoretical analysis combines recent results in self-normalized concentration in Hilbert spaces and finite-sample bounds for distributionally robust optimization to establish sublinear regret bounds that match state-of-the-art results. Through extensive comparisons with existing approaches on both synthetic and real-world problems, we demonstrate the simplicity, effectiveness, and practical applicability of our proposed method.

Poster
Bandit Pareto Set Identification in a Multi-Output Linear Model

Cyrille Kone, Emilie Kaufmann, Laura Richert

Expand abstract

We study the Pareto Set Identification (PSI) problem in a structured multi-output linear bandit model. In this setting, each arm is associated a feature vector belonging to $\mathbb{R}^h$ and its mean vector in $\mathbb{R}^d$ linearly depends on this feature vector through a common unknown matrix $\Theta \in \mathbb{R}^{h \times d}$. The goal is to identify the set of non-dominated arms by adaptively collecting samples from the arms. We introduce and analyze the first optimal design-based algorithms for PSI, providing nearly optimal guarantees in both the fixed-budget and the fixed-confidence settings. Notably, we show that the difficulty of these tasks mainly depends on the sub-optimality gaps of $h$ arms only. Our theoretical results are supported by an extensive benchmark on synthetic and real-world datasets.

Poster
Paths and Ambient Spaces in Neural Loss Landscapes

Daniel Dold, Julius Kobialka, Nicolai Palm, Emanuel Sommer, David Rügamer, Oliver Dürr

Expand abstract

Understanding the structure of neural network loss surfaces, particularly the emergence of low-loss tunnels, is critical for advancing neural network theory and practice. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to directly embed loss tunnels into the loss landscape of neural networks. Exploring the properties of these loss tunnels offers new insights into their length and structure and sheds light on some common misconceptions. We then apply our approach to Bayesian neural networks, where we improve subspace inference by identifying pitfalls and proposing a more natural prior that better guides the sampling procedure.

Poster
Understanding the Effect of GCN Convolutions in Regression Tasks

Juntong Chen, Johannes Schmidt-Hieber, Claire Donnat, Olga Klopp

Expand abstract

Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) have become a pivotal method in machine learning for modeling functions over graphs. Despite their widespread success across various applications, their statistical properties (e.g., consistency, convergence rates) remain ill-characterized. To begin addressing this knowledge gap, we consider networks for which the graph structure implies that neighboring nodes exhibit similar signals and provide statistical theory for the impact of convolution operators. Focusing on estimators based solely on neighborhood aggregation, we examine how two common convolutions—the original GCN and GraphSAGE convolutions—affect the learning error as a function of the neighborhood topology and the number of convolutional layers. We explicitly characterize the bias variance type trade-off incurred by GCNs as a function of the neighborhood size and identify specific graph topologies where convolution operators are less effective. Our theoretical findings are corroborated by synthetic experiments, and provide a start to a deeper quantitative understanding of convolutional effects in GCNs for offering rigorous guidelines for practitioners.

Poster
Fundamental Limits of Perfect Concept Erasure

Somnath Basu Roy Chowdhury, Kumar Avinava Dubey, Ahmad Beirami, Rahul Kidambi, Nicholas Monath, Amr Ahmed, Snigdha Chaturvedi

Expand abstract

Concept erasure is the task of erasing information about a concept (e.g., gender or race) from a representation set while retaining the maximum possible utility -- information from original representations. Concept erasure is useful in several applications, such as removing sensitive concepts to achieve fairness and interpreting the impact of specific concepts on a model's performance. Previous concept erasure techniques have prioritized robustly erasing concepts over retaining the utility of the resultant representations. However, there seems to be an inherent tradeoff between erasure and retaining utility, making it unclear how to achieve perfect concept erasure while maintaining high utility. In this paper, we offer a fresh perspective toward solving this problem by quantifying the fundamental limits of concept erasure through an information-theoretic lens. Using these results, we investigate constraints on the data distribution and the erasure functions required to achieve the limits of perfect concept erasure. Empirically, we show that the derived erasure functions achieve the optimal theoretical bounds. Additionally, we show that our approach outperforms existing methods on a range of synthetic and real-world datasets using GPT-4 representations.

Poster
SemlaFlow -- Efficient 3D Molecular Generation with Latent Attention and Equivariant Flow Matching

Ross Irwin, Alessandro Tibo, Jon Paul Janet, Simon Olsson

Expand abstract

Methods for jointly generating molecular graphs along with their 3D conformations have gained prominence recently due to their potential impact on structure-based drug design. Current approaches, however, often suffer from very slow sampling times or generate molecules with poor chemical validity. Addressing these limitations, we propose Semla, a scalable E(3)-equivariant message passing architecture. We further introduce an unconditional 3D molecular generation model, SemlaFlow, which is trained using equivariant flow matching to generate a joint distribution over atom types, coordinates, bond types and formal charges. Our model produces state-of-the-art results on benchmark datasets with as few as 20 sampling steps, corresponding to a two order-of-magnitude speedup compared to state-of-the-art. Furthermore, we highlight limitations of current evaluation methods for 3D generation and propose new benchmark metrics for unconditional molecular generators. Finally, using these new metrics, we compare our model's ability to generate high quality samples against current approaches and further demonstrate SemlaFlow's strong performance.

Poster
Natural Language Counterfactual Explanations for Graphs Using Large Language Models

Flavio Giorgi, Cesare Campagnano, Fabrizio Silvestri, Gabriele Tolomei

Expand abstract

Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) has emerged as a critical area of research to unravel the opaque inner logic of (deep) machine learning models. Among the various XAI techniques proposed in the literature, counterfactual explanations stand out as one of the most promising approaches. However, these ``what-if'' explanations are frequently complex and technical, making them difficult for non-experts to understand and, more broadly, challenging for humans to interpret. To bridge this gap, in this work, we exploit the power of open-source Large Language Models to generate natural language explanations when prompted with valid counterfactual instances produced by state-of-the-art explainers for graph-based models. Experiments across several graph datasets and counterfactual explainers show that our approach effectively produces accurate natural language representations of counterfactual instances, as demonstrated by key performance metrics

Poster
Prior-Dependent Allocations for Bayesian Fixed-Budget Best-Arm Identification in Structured Bandits

Nicolas Nguyen, Imad Aouali, Andras Gyorgy, Claire Vernade

Expand abstract

We study the problem of Bayesian fixed-budget best-arm identification (BAI) in structured bandits. We propose an algorithm that uses fixed allocations based on the prior information and the structure of the environment. We provide theoretical bounds on its performance across diverse models, including the first prior-dependent upper bounds for linear and hierarchical BAI. Our key contribution lies in introducing novel proof techniques that yield tighter bounds for multi-armed BAI compared to existing approaches. Our work provides new insights into Bayesian fixed-budget BAI in structured bandits, and extensive experiments demonstrate the consistent and robust performance of our method in practice across various settings.

Poster
Hyperbolic Prototypical Entailment Cones for Image Classification

Samuele Fonio, Roberto Esposito, Marco Aldinucci

Expand abstract

Non-Euclidean geometries have garnered significant research interest, particularly in their application to Deep Learning. Utilizing specific manifolds as embedding spaces has been shown to enhance neural network representational capabilities by aligning these spaces with the data's latent structure. In this paper, we focus on hyperbolic manifolds and introduce a novel framework, Hyperbolic Prototypical Entailment Cones (HPEC). The core innovation of HPEC lies in utilizing angular relationships, rather than traditional distance metrics, to more effectively capture the similarity between data representations and their corresponding prototypes. This is achieved by leveraging hyperbolic entailment cones, a mathematical construct particularly suited for embedding hierarchical structures in the Poincare' Ball, along with a novel Backclip mechanism. Our experimental results demonstrate that this approach significantly enhances performance in high-dimensional embedding spaces. To substantiate these findings, we evaluate HPEC on four diverse datasets across various embedding dimensions, consistently surpassing state-of-the-art methods in Prototype Learning.

Poster