AISTATS 2023 Papers

International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics

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496papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

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Fast Variational Estimation of Mutual Information for Implicit and Explicit Likelihood Models

Caleb Dahlke, Sue Zheng, Jason Pacheco

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Computing mutual information (MI) of random variables lacks a closed-form in nontrivial models. Variational MI approximations are widely used as flexible estimators for this purpose, but computing them typically requires solving a costly nonconvex optimization. We prove that a widely used class of variational MI estimators can be solved via moment matching operations in place of the numerical optimization methods that are typically required. We show that the same moment matching solution yields variational estimates for so-called “implicit” models that lack a closed form likelihood function. Furthermore, we demonstrate that this moment matching solution has multiple orders of magnitude computational speed up compared to the standard optimization based solutions. We show that theoretical results are supported by numerical evaluation in fully parameterized Gaussian mixture models and a generalized linear model with implicit likelihood due to nuisance variables. We also demonstrate on the implicit simulation-based likelihood SIR epidemiology model, where we avoid costly likelihood free inference and observe many orders of magnitude speedup.

Poster
Fast Feature Selection with Fairness Constraints

Francesco Quinzan, Rajiv Khanna, Moshik Hershcovitch, Sarel Cohen, Daniel Waddington, Tobias Friedrich, Michael W. Mahoney

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We study the fundamental problem of selecting optimal features for model construction. This problem is computationally challenging on large datasets, even with the use of greedy algorithm variants. To address this challenge, we extend the adaptive query model, recently proposed for the greedy forward selection for submodular functions, to the faster paradigm of Orthogonal Matching Pursuit for non-submodular functions. The proposed algorithm achieves exponentially fast parallel run time in the adaptive query model, scaling much better than prior work. Furthermore, our extension allows the use of downward-closed constraints, which can be used to encode certain fairness criteria into the feature selection process. We prove strong approximation guarantees for the algorithm based on standard assumptions. These guarantees are applicable to many parametric models, including Generalized Linear Models. Finally, we demonstrate empirically that the proposed algorithm competes favorably with state-of-the-art techniques for feature selection, on real-world and synthetic datasets.

Poster
Fast Distributed k-Means with a Small Number of Rounds

Tom Hess, Ron Visbord, Sivan Sabato

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We propose a new algorithm for k-means clustering in a distributed setting, where the data is distributed across many machines, and a coordinator communicates with these machines to calculate the output clustering. Our algorithm guarantees a cost approximation factor and a number of communication rounds that depend only on the computational capacity of the coordinator. Moreover, the algorithm includes a built-in stopping mechanism, which allows it to use fewer communication rounds whenever possible. We show both theoretically and empirically that in many natural cases, indeed 1-4 rounds suffice. In comparison with the popular k-means$||$ algorithm, our approach allows exploiting a larger coordinator capacity to obtain a smaller number of rounds. Our experiments show that the k-means cost obtained by the proposed algorithm is usually better than the cost obtained by k-means$||$, even when the latter is allowed a larger number of rounds. Moreover, the machine running time in our approach is considerably smaller than that of k-means$||$.

Poster
Fast Computation of Branching Process Transition Probabilities via ADMM

Achal Awasthi, Jason Xu

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Branching processes are a class of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) prevalent for modeling stochastic population dynamics in ecology, biology, epidemiology, and many other fields. The transient or finite-time behavior of these systems is fully characterized by their transition probabilities. However, computing them requires marginalizing over all paths between endpoint-conditioned values, which often poses a computational bottleneck. Leveraging recent results that connect generating function methods to a compressed sensing framework, we recast this task from the lens of sparse optimization. We propose a new solution method using variable splitting; in particular, we derive closed form updates in a highly efficient ADMM algorithm. Notably, no matrix products—let alone inversions—are required at any step. This reduces computational cost by orders of magnitude over existing methods, and the algorithm is easily parallelizable and fairly insensitive to tuning parameters. A comparison to prior work is carried out in two applications to models of blood cell production and transposon evolution, showing that the proposed method is orders of magnitudes more scalable than existing work.

Poster
Fast Block Coordinate Descent for Non-Convex Group Regularizations

Yasutoshi Ida, Sekitoshi Kanai, Atsutoshi Kumagai

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Non-convex sparse regularizations with group structures are useful tools for selecting important feature groups. For optimization with these regularizations, block coordinate descent (BCD) is a standard solver that iteratively updates each parameter group. However, it suffers from high computation costs for a large number of parameter groups. The state-of-the-art method prunes unnecessary updates in BCD by utilizing bounds on the norms of the parameter groups. Unfortunately, since it computes the bound for each iteration, the computation cost still tends to be high when the updates are not sufficiently pruned. This paper proposes a fast BCD for non-convex group regularizations. Specifically, it selects a small subset of the parameter groups from all the parameter groups on the basis of the bounds and performs BCD on the subset. The subset grows step by step in accordance with the bounds during optimization. Since it computes the bounds only when selecting and growing the subsets, the total cost for computing the bounds is smaller than in the previous method. In addition, we theoretically guarantee the convergence of our method. Experiments show that our method is up to four times faster than the state-of-the-art method and 68 times faster than the original BCD without any loss of accuracy.

Poster
Falsification of Internal and External Validity in Observational Studies via Conditional Moment Restrictions

Zeshan Hussain, Ming-Chieh Shih, Michael Oberst, Ilker Demirel, David Sontag

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Randomized Controlled Trials (RCT)s are relied upon to assess new treatments, but suffer from limited power to guide personalized treatment decisions. On the other hand, observational (i.e., non-experimental) studies have large and diverse populations, but are prone to various biases (e.g. residual confounding). To safely leverage the strengths of observational studies, we focus on the problem of falsification, whereby RCTs are used to validate causal effect estimates learned from observational data. In particular, we show that, given data from both an RCT and an observational study, assumptions on internal and external validity have an observable, testable implication in the form of a set of Conditional Moment Restrictions (CMRs). Further, we show that expressing these CMRs with respect to the causal effect, or “causal contrast”, as opposed to individual counterfactual means, provides a more reliable falsification test. In addition to giving guarantees on the asymptotic properties of our test, we demonstrate superior power and type I error of our approach on semi-synthetic and real world datasets. Our approach is interpretable, allowing a practitioner to visualize which subgroups in the population lead to falsification of an observational study.

Poster
Faithful Heteroscedastic Regression with Neural Networks

Andrew Stirn, Harm Wessels, Megan Schertzer, Laura Pereira, Neville Sanjana, David Knowles

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Heteroscedastic regression models a Gaussian variable’s mean and variance as a function of covariates. Parametric methods that employ neural networks for these parameter maps can capture complex relationships in the data. Yet, optimizing network parameters via log likelihood gradients can yield suboptimal mean and uncalibrated variance estimates. Current solutions side-step this optimization problem with surrogate objectives or Bayesian treatments. Instead, we make two simple modifications to optimization. Notably, their combination produces a heteroscedastic model with mean estimates that are provably as accurate as those from its homoscedastic counterpart (i.e. fitting the mean under squared error loss). For a wide variety of network and task complexities, we find that mean estimates from existing heteroscedastic solutions can be significantly less accurate than those from an equivalently expressive mean-only model. Our approach provably retains the accuracy of an equally flexible mean-only model while also offering best-in-class variance calibration. Lastly, we show how to leverage our method to recover the underlying heteroscedastic noise variance.

Poster
Fair learning with Wasserstein barycenters for non-decomposable performance measures

Solenne Gaucher, Nicolas Schreuder, Evgenii Chzhen

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This work provides several fundamental characterizations of the optimal classification function under the demographic parity constraint. In the awareness framework, akin to the classical unconstrained classification case, we show that maximizing accuracy under this fairness constraint is equivalent to solving a fair regression problem followed by thresholding at level $1/2$. We extend this result to linear-fractional classification measures (e.g., $F$-score, AM measure, balanced accuracy, etc.), highlighting the fundamental role played by regression in this framework. Our results leverage recently developed connection between the demographic parity constraint and the multi-marginal optimal transport formulation. Informally, our result shows that the transition between the unconstrained problem and the fair one is achieved by replacing the conditional expectation of the label by the solution of the fair regression problem. Finally, leveraging our analysis, we demonstrate an equivalence between the awareness and the unawareness setups for two sensitive groups.

Poster
Fair Representation Learning with Unreliable Labels

Yixuan Zhang, Feng Zhou, Zhidong Li, Yang Wang, Fang Chen

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In learning with fairness, for every instance, its label can be randomly flipped to another class due to the practitioner’s prejudice, namely, label bias. The existing well-studied fair representation learning methods focus on removing the dependency between the sensitive factors and the input data, but do not address how the representations retain useful information when the labels are unreliable. In fact, we find that the learned representations become random or degenerated when the instance is contaminated by label bias. To alleviate this issue, we investigate the problem of learning fair representations that are independent of the sensitive factors while retaining the task-relevant information given only access to unreliable labels. Our model disentangles the dependency between fair representations and sensitive factors in the latent space. To remove the reliance between the labels and sensitive factors, we incorporate an additional penalty based on mutual information. The learned purged fair representations can then be used in any downstream processing. We demonstrate the superiority of our method over previous works through multiple experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets.

Poster
Factorial SDE for Multi-Output Gaussian Process Regression

Daniel P. Jeong, Seyoung Kim

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Multi-output Gaussian process (GP) regression has been widely used as a flexible nonparametric Bayesian model for predicting multiple correlated outputs given inputs. However, the cubic complexity in the sample size and the output dimensions for inverting the kernel matrix has limited their use in the large-data regime. In this paper, we introduce the factorial stochastic differential equation as a representation of multi-output GP regression, which is a factored state-space representation as in factorial hidden Markov models. We propose a structured mean-field variational inference approach that achieves a time complexity linear in the number of samples, along with its sparse variational inference counterpart with complexity linear in the number of inducing points. On simulated and real-world data, we show that our approach significantly improves upon the scalability of previous methods, while achieving competitive prediction accuracy.

Poster
FAIR: Fair Collaborative Active Learning with Individual Rationality for Scientific Discovery

Xinyi Xu, Zhaoxuan Wu, Arun Verma, Chuan Sheng Foo, Bryan Kian Hsiang Low

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Scientific discovery aims to find new patterns and test specific hypotheses by analysing large-scale experimental data. However, various practical limitations (e.g., high experimental costs or the inability to perform some experiments) make it challenging for researchers to collect sufficient experimental data for successful scientific discovery. To this end, we propose a collaborative active learning (CAL) framework that enables researchers to share their experimental data for mutual benefit. Specifically, our proposed coordinated acquisition function sets out to achieve individual rationality and fairness so that everyone can equitably benefit from collaboration. We empirically demonstrate that our method outperforms existing batch active learning ones (adapted to the CAL setting) in terms of both learning performance and fairness on various real-world scientific discovery datasets (biochemistry, material science, and physics).

Poster
Exploration in Reward Machines with Low Regret

Hippolyte Bourel, Anders Jonsson, Odalric-Ambrym Maillard, Mohammad Sadegh Talebi

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We study reinforcement learning (RL) for decision processes with non-Markovian reward, in which high-level knowledge in the form of reward machines is available to the learner. Specifically, we investigate the efficiency of RL under the average-reward criterion, in the regret minimization setting. We propose two model-based RL algorithms that each exploits the structure of the reward machines, and show that our algorithms achieve regret bounds that improve over those of baselines by a multiplicative factor proportional to the number of states in the underlying reward machine. To the best of our knowledge, the proposed algorithms and associated regret bounds are the first to tailor the analysis specifically to reward machines, either in the episodic or average-reward settings. We also present a regret lower bound for the studied setting, which indicates that the proposed algorithms achieve a near-optimal regret. Finally, we report numerical experiments that demonstrate the superiority of the proposed algorithms over existing baselines in practice.

Poster
Exploration in Linear Bandits with Rich Action Sets and its Implications for Inference

Debangshu Banerjee, Avishek Ghosh, Sayak Ray Chowdhury, Aditya Gopalan

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We present a non-asymptotic lower bound on the spectrum of the design matrix generated by any linear bandit algorithm with sub-linear regret when the action set has well-behaved curvature. Specifically, we show that the minimum eigenvalue of the expected design matrix grows as $\Omega(\sqrt{n})$ whenever the expected cumulative regret of the algorithm is $O(\sqrt{n})$, where $n$ is the learning horizon, and the action-space has a constant Hessian around the optimal arm. This shows that such action-spaces force a polynomial lower bound on the least eigenvalue, rather than a logarithmic lower bound as shown by Lattimore et al. (2017) for discrete (i.e., well-separated) action spaces. Furthermore, while the latter holds only in the asymptotic regime ($n \to \infty$), our result for these “locally rich” action spaces is any-time. Additionally, under a mild technical assumption, we obtain a similar lower bound on the minimum eigen value holding with high probability. We apply our result to two practical scenarios – model selection and clustering in linear bandits. For model selection, we show that an epoch-based linear bandit algorithm adapts to the true model complexity at a rate exponential in the number of epochs, by virtue of our novel spectral bound. For clustering, we consider a multi agent framework where we show, by leveraging the spectral result, that no forced exploration is necessary—the agents can run a linear bandit algorithm and estimate their underlying parameters at once, and hence incur a low regret.

Poster
Explicit Regularization in Overparametrized Models via Noise Injection

Antonio Orvieto, Anant Raj, Hans Kersting, Francis Bach

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Injecting noise within gradient descent has several desirable features, such as smoothing and regularizing properties. In this paper, we investigate the effects of injecting noise before computing a gradient step. We demonstrate that small perturbations can induce explicit regularization for simple models based on the L1-norm, group L1-norms, or nuclear norms. However, when applied to overparametrized neural networks with large widths, we show that the same perturbations can cause variance explosion. To overcome this, we propose using independent layer-wise perturbations, which provably allow for explicit regularization without variance explosion. Our empirical results show that these small perturbations lead to improved generalization performance compared to vanilla gradient descent.

Poster
Exact Gradient Computation for Spiking Neural Networks via Forward Propagation

Jane H. Lee, Saeid Haghighatshoar, amin karbasi

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Spiking neural networks (SNN) have recently emerged as alternatives to traditional neural networks, owing to its energy efficiency benefits and capacity to capture biological neuronal mechanisms. However, the classic backpropagation algorithm for training traditional networks has been notoriously difficult to apply to SNN due to the hard-thresholding and discontinuities at spike times. Therefore, a large majority of prior work believes exact gradients for SNN w.r.t. their weights do not exist and has focused on approximation methods to produce surrogate gradients. In this paper, (1) by applying the implicit function theorem to SNN at the discrete spike times, we prove that, albeit being non-differentiable in time, SNNs have well-defined gradients w.r.t. their weights, and (2) we propose a novel training algorithm, called forward propagation (FP), that computes exact gradients for SNN. FP exploits the causality structure between the spikes and allows us to parallelize computation forward in time. It can be used with other algorithms that simulate the forward pass, and it also provides insights on why other related algorithms such as Hebbian learning and also recently-proposed surrogate gradient methods may perform well.

Poster
Estimating Total Correlation with Mutual Information Estimators

Ke Bai, Pengyu Cheng, Weituo Hao, Ricardo Henao, Larry Carin

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Total correlation (TC) is a fundamental concept in information theory that measures statistical dependency among multiple random variables. Recently, TC has shown noticeable effectiveness as a regularizer in many learning tasks, where the correlation among multiple latent embeddings requires to be jointly minimized or maximized. However, calculating precise TC values is challenging, especially when the closed-form distributions of embedding variables are unknown. In this paper, we introduce a unified framework to estimate total correlation values with sample-based mutual information (MI) estimators. More specifically, we discover a relation between TC and MI and propose two types of calculation paths (tree-like and line-like) to decompose TC into MI terms. With each MI term being bounded, the TC values can be successfully estimated. Further, we provide theoretical analyses concerning the statistical consistency of the proposed TC estimators. Experiments are presented on both synthetic and real-world scenarios, where our estimators demonstrate effectiveness in all TC estimation, minimization, and maximization tasks.

Poster
Estimating Conditional Average Treatment Effects with Missing Treatment Information

Milan Kuzmanovic, Tobias Hatt, Stefan Feuerriegel

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Estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATE) is challenging, especially when treatment information is missing. Although this is a widespread problem in practice, CATE estimation with missing treatments has received little attention. In this paper, we analyze CATE estimation in the setting with missing treatments where unique challenges arise in the form of covariate shifts. We identify two covariate shifts in our setting: (i) a covariate shift between the treated and control population; and (ii) a covariate shift between the observed and missing treatment population. We first theoretically show the effect of these covariate shifts by deriving a generalization bound for estimating CATE in our setting with missing treatments. Then, motivated by our bound, we develop the missing treatment representation network (MTRNet), a novel CATE estimation algorithm that learns a balanced representation of covariates using domain adaptation. By using balanced representations, MTRNet provides more reliable CATE estimates in the covariate domains where the data are not fully observed. In various experiments with semi-synthetic and real-world data, we show that our algorithm improves over the state-of-the-art by a substantial margin.

Poster
Error Estimation for Random Fourier Features

Junwen Yao, N. Benjamin Erichson, Miles E. Lopes

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Random Fourier Features (RFF) is among the most popular and broadly applicable approaches for scaling up kernel methods. In essence, RFF allows the user to avoid costly computations with a large kernel matrix via a fast randomized approximation. However, a pervasive difficulty in applying RFF is that the user does not know the actual error of the approximation, or how this error will propagate into downstream learning tasks. Up to now, the RFF literature has primarily dealt with these uncertainties using theoretical error bounds, but from a user’s standpoint, such results are typically impractical—either because they are highly conservative or involve unknown quantities. To tackle these general issues in a data-driven way, this paper develops a bootstrap approach to numerically estimate the errors of RFF approximations. Three key advantages of this approach are: (1) The error estimates are specific to the problem at hand, avoiding the pessimism of worst-case bounds. (2) The approach is flexible with respect to different uses of RFF, and can even estimate errors in downstream learning tasks. (3) The approach enables adaptive computation, in the sense that the user can quickly inspect the error of a rough initial kernel approximation and then predict how much extra work is needed. Furthermore, in exchange for all of these benefits, the error estimates can be obtained at a modest computational cost.

Poster
Equivariant Representation Learning via Class-Pose Decomposition

Giovanni Luca Marchetti, Gustaf Tegnér, Anastasiia Varava, Danica Kragic

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We introduce a general method for learning representations that are equivariant to symmetries of data. Our central idea is to decompose the latent space into an invariant factor and the symmetry group itself. The components semantically correspond to intrinsic data classes and poses respectively. The learner is trained on a loss encouraging equivariance based on supervision from relative symmetry information. The approach is motivated by theoretical results from group theory and guarantees representations that are lossless, interpretable and disentangled. We provide an empirical investigation via experiments involving datasets with a variety of symmetries. Results show that our representations capture the geometry of data and outperform other equivariant representation learning frameworks.

Poster
Entropic Risk Optimization in Discounted MDPs

Jia Lin Hau, Marek Petrik, Mohammad Ghavamzadeh

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Risk-averse Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) have optimal policies that achieve high returns with low variability, but these MDPs are often difficult to solve. Only a few practical risk-averse objectives admit a dynamic programming (DP) formulation, which is the mainstay of most MDP and RL algorithms. We derive a new DP formulation for discounted risk-averse MDPs with Entropic Risk Measure (ERM) and Entropic Value at Risk (EVaR) objectives. Our DP formulation for ERM, which is possible because of our novel definition of value function with time-dependent risk levels, can approximate optimal policies in a time that is polynomial in the approximation error. We then use the ERM algorithm to optimize the EVaR objective in polynomial time using an optimized discretization scheme. Our numerical results show the viability of our formulations and algorithms in discounted MDPs.

Poster