AISTATS 2020 Papers

International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics

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423papers

Counted from the official paper list; may differ slightly from the number the conference announced.

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Logistic regression with peer-group effects via inference in higher-order Ising models

Constantinos Daskalakis, Nishanth Dikkala, Ioannis Panageas

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Spin glass models, such as the Sherrington-Kirkpatrick, Hopfield and Ising models, are all well-studied members of the exponential family of discrete distributions, and have been influential in a number of application domains where they are used to model correlation phenomena on networks. Conventionally these models have quadratic sufficient statistics and consequently capture correlations arising from pairwise interactions. In this work we study extensions of these models to models with higher-order sufficient statistics, modeling behavior on a social network with peer-group effects. In particular, we model binary outcomes on a network as a higher-order spin glass, where the behavior of an individual depends on a linear function of their own vector of covariates and some polynomial function of the behavior of others, capturing peer-group effects. Using a {\em single}, high-dimensional sample from such model our goal is to recover the coefficients of the linear function as well as the strength of the peer-group effects. The heart of our result is a novel approach for showing strong concavity of the log pseudo-likelihood of the model, implying statistical error rate of $\sqrt{d/n}$ for the Maximum Pseudo-Likelihood Estimator (MPLE), where $d$ is the dimensionality of the covariate vectors and $n$ is the size of the network (number of nodes). Our model generalizes vanilla logistic regression as well as the models studied in recent works of  \cite{chatterjee2007estimation,ghosal2018joint,DDP19}, and our results extend these results to accommodate higher-order interactions.

Poster
Locally Accelerated Conditional Gradients

Jelena Diakonikolas, Alejandro Carderera, Sebastian Pokutta

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Conditional gradients constitute a class of projection-free first-order algorithms for smooth convex optimization. As such, they are frequently used in solving smooth convex optimization problems over polytopes, for which the computational cost of projections is prohibitive. However, they do not enjoy the optimal convergence rates achieved by projection-based accelerated methods; moreover, achieving such globally-accelerated rates is information-theoretically impossible. To address this issue, we present Locally Accelerated Conditional Gradients – an algorithmic framework that couples accelerated steps with conditional gradient steps to achieve \emph{local} acceleration on smooth strongly convex problems. Our approach does not require projections onto the feasible set, but only on (typically low-dimensional) simplices, thus keeping the computational cost of projections at bay. Further, it achieves optimal accelerated local convergence. Our theoretical results are supported by numerical experiments, which demonstrate significant speedups over state of the art methods in both per-iteration progress and wall-clock time.

Poster
Local Differential Privacy for Sampling

Hisham Husain, Borja Balle, Zac Cranko, Richard Nock

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Differential privacy (DP) is a leading privacy protection focused by design on individual privacy. In the local model of DP, strong privacy is achieved by privatizing each user’s individual data before sending it to an untrusted aggregator for analysis. While in recent years local DP has been adopted for practical deployments, most research in this area focuses on problems where each individual holds a single data record. In many problems of practical interest this assumption is unrealistic since nowadays most user-owned devices collect large quantities of data (e.g. pictures, text messages, time series). We propose to model this scenario by assuming each individual holds a distribution over the space of data records, and develop novel local DP methods to sample privately from these distributions. Our main contribution is a boosting-based density estimation algorithm for learning samplers that generate synthetic data while protecting the underlying distribution of each user with local DP. We give approximation guarantees quantifying how well these samplers approximate the true distribution. Experimental results against DP kernel density estimation and DP GANs displays the quality of our results.

Poster
Lipschitz Continuous Autoencoders in Application to Anomaly Detection

Young Geun Kim, Yongchan Kwon, Hyunwoong Chang, Myunghee Cho Paik

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Anomaly detection is the task of finding abnormal data that are distinct from normal behavior. Current deep learning-based anomaly detection methods train neural networks with normal data alone and calculate anomaly scores based on the trained model. In this work, we formalize current practices, build a theoretical framework of anomaly detection algorithms equipped with an objective function and a hypothesis space, and establish a desirable property of the anomaly detection algorithm, namely, admissibility. Admissibility implies that optimal autoencoders for normal data yield a larger reconstruction error for anomalous data than that for normal data on average. We then propose a class of admissible anomaly detection algorithms equipped with an integral probability metric-based objective function and a class of autoencoders, Lipschitz continuous autoencoders. The proposed algorithm for Wasserstein distance is implemented by minimizing an approximated Wasserstein distance with a penalty to enforce Lipschitz continuity with respect to Wasserstein distance. Through ablation studies, we demonstrate the efficacy of enforcing Lipschitz continuity of the proposed method. The proposed method is shown to be more effective in detecting anomalies than existing methods via applications to network traffic and image datasets.

Poster
Linearly Convergent Frank-Wolfe with Backtracking Line-Search

Fabian Pedregosa, Geoffrey Negiar, Armin Askari, Martin Jaggi

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Structured constraints in Machine Learning have recently brought the Frank-Wolfe (FW) family of algorithms back in the spotlight. While the classical FW algorithm has poor local convergence properties, the Away-steps and Pairwise FW variants have emerged as improved variants with faster convergence. However, these improved variants suffer from two practical limitations: they require at each iteration to solve a 1-dimensional minimization problem to set the step-size and also require the Frank-Wolfe linear subproblems to be solved exactly. In this paper we propose variants of Away-steps and Pairwise FW that lift both restrictions simultaneously. The proposed methods set the step-size based on a sufficient decrease condition, and do not require prior knowledge of the objective. Furthermore, they inherit all the favorable convergence properties of the exact line-search version, including linear convergence for strongly convex functions over polytopes. Benchmarks on different machine learning problems illustrate large performance gains of the proposed variants.

Poster
Linear predictor on linearly-generated data with missing values: non consistency and solutions

Marine Le Morvan, Nicolas Prost, Julie Josse, Erwan Scornet, Gael Varoquaux

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We consider building predictors when the data have missing values. We study the seemingly-simple case where the target to predict is a linear function of the fully observed data and we show that, in the presence of missing values, the optimal predictor is not linear in general. In the particular Gaussian case, it can be written as a linear function of multiway interactions between the observed data and the various missing value indicators. Due to its intrinsic complexity, we study a simple approximation and prove generalization bounds with finite samples, highlighting regimes for which each method performs best. We then show that multilayer perceptrons with ReLU activation functions can be consistent, and can explore good trade-offs between the true model and approximations. Our study highlights the interesting family of models that are beneficial to fit with missing values depending on the amount of data available.

Poster
Linear Dynamics: Clustering without identification

Chloe Hsu, Michaela Hardt, Moritz Hardt

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Linear dynamical systems are a fundamental and powerful parametric model class. However, identifying the parameters of a linear dynamical system is a venerable task, permitting provably efficient solutions only in special cases. This work shows that the eigenspectrum of unknown linear dynamics can be identified without full system identification. We analyze a computationally efficient and provably convergent algorithm to estimate the eigenvalues of the state-transition matrix in a linear dynamical system.When applied to time series clustering, our algorithm can efficiently cluster multi-dimensional time series with temporal offsets and varying lengths, under the assumption that the time series are generated from linear dynamical systems. Evaluating our algorithm on both synthetic data and real electrocardiogram (ECG) signals, we see improvements in clustering quality over existing baselines.

Poster
Linear Convergence of Adaptive Stochastic Gradient Descent

Yuege Xie, Xiaoxia Wu, Rachel Ward

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We prove that the norm version of the adaptive stochastic gradient method (AdaGrad-Norm) achieves a linear convergence rate for a subset of either strongly convex functions or non-convex functions that satisfy the Polyak Lojasiewicz (PL) inequality. The paper introduces the notion of Restricted Uniform Inequality of Gradients (RUIG)—which is a measure of the balanced-ness of the stochastic gradient norms—to depict the landscape of a function. RUIG plays a key role in proving the robustness of AdaGrad-Norm to its hyper-parameter tuning in the stochastic setting. On top of RUIG, we develop a two-stage framework to prove the linear convergence of AdaGrad-Norm without knowing the parameters of the objective functions. This framework can likely be extended to other adaptive stepsize algorithms. The numerical experiments validate the theory and suggest future directions for improvement.

Poster
Leave-One-Out Cross-Validation for Bayesian Model Comparison in Large Data

Måns Magnusson, Aki Vehtari, Johan Jonasson, Michael Andersen

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Recently, new methods for model assessment, based on subsampling and posterior approximations, have been proposed for scaling leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV) to large datasets. Although these methods work well for estimating predictive performance for individual models, they are less powerful in model comparison. We propose an efficient method for estimating differences in predictive performance by combining fast approximate LOO surrogates with exact LOO sub-sampling using the difference estimator and supply proofs with regards to scaling characteristics. The resulting approach can be orders of magnitude more efficient than previous approaches, as well as being better suited to model comparison.

Poster
Learning with minibatch Wasserstein : asymptotic and gradient properties

Kilian FATRAS, Younes Zine, Rémi Flamary, Remi Gribonval, Nicolas Courty

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Optimal transport distances are powerful tools to compare probability distributions and have found many applications in machine learning. Yet their algorithmic complexity prevents their direct use on large scale datasets. To overcome this challenge, practitioners compute these distances on minibatches i.e., they average the outcome of several smaller optimal transport problems. We propose in this paper an analysis of this practice, which effects are not well understood so far. We notably argue that it is equivalent to an implicit regularization of the original problem, with appealing properties such as unbiased estimators, gradients and a concentration bound around the expectation, but also with defects such as loss of distance property. Along with this theoretical analysis, we also conduct empirical experiments on gradient flows, GANs or color transfer that highlight the practical interest of this strategy.

Poster
Learning spectrograms with convolutional spectral kernels

Zheyang Shen, Markus Heinonen, Samuel Kaski

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We introduce the convolutional spectral kernel (CSK), a novel family of non-stationary, nonparametric covariance kernels for Gaussian process (GP) models, derived from the convolution between two imaginary radial basis functions. We present a principled framework to interpret CSK, as well as other deep probabilistic models, using approximated Fourier transform, yielding a concise representation of input-frequency spectrogram. Observing through the lens of the spectrogram, we provide insight on the interpretability of deep models. We then infer the functional hyperparameters using scalable variational and MCMC methods. On small- and medium-sized spatiotemporal datasets, we demonstrate improved generalization of GP models when equipped with CSK, and their capability to extract non-stationary periodic patterns.

Poster
Learning piecewise Lipschitz functions in changing environments

Dravyansh Sharma, Maria Florina Balcan, Travis Dick

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Optimization in the presence of sharp (non-Lipschitz), unpredictable (w.r.t. time and amount) changes is a challenging and largely unexplored problem of great significance. We consider the class of piecewise Lipschitz functions, which is the most general online setting considered in the literature for the problem, and arises naturally in various combinatorial algorithm selection problems where utility functions can have sharp discontinuities. The usual performance metric of ‘static’ regret minimizes the gap between the payoff accumulated and that of the best fixed point for the entire duration, and thus fails to capture changing environments. Shifting regret is a useful alternative, which allows for up to $s$ environment {\it shifts}. In this work we provide an $O(\sqrt{sdT\log T}+sT^{1-\beta})$ regret bound for $\beta$-dispersed functions, where $\beta$ roughly quantifies the rate at which discontinuities appear in the utility functions in expectation (typically $\beta\ge1/2$ in problems of practical interest \cite{2019arXiv190409014B,balcan2018dispersion}). We also present a lower bound tight up to sub-logarithmic factors. We further obtain improved bounds when selecting from a small pool of experts. We empirically demonstrate a key application of our algorithms to online clustering problems on popular benchmarks.

Poster
Learning in Gated Neural Networks

Ashok Makkuva, Sewoong Oh, Sreeram Kannan, Pramod Viswanath

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Gating is a key feature in modern neural networks including LSTMs, GRUs and sparsely-gated deep neural networks. The backbone of such gated networks is a mixture-of-experts layer, where several experts make regression decisions and gating controls how to weigh the decisions in an input-dependent manner. Despite having such a prominent role in both modern and classical machine learning, very little is understood about parameter recovery of mixture-of-experts since gradient descent and EM algorithms are known to be stuck in local optima in such models.In this paper, we perform a careful analysis of the optimization landscape and show that with appropriately designed loss functions, gradient descent can indeed learn the parameters accurately. A key idea underpinning our results is the design of two {\em distinct} loss functions, one for recovering the expert parameters and another for recovering the gating parameters. We demonstrate the first sample complexity results for parameter recovery in this model for any algorithm and demonstrate significant performance gains over standard loss functions in numerical experiments.

Poster
Learning Sparse Nonparametric DAGs

Xun Zheng, Chen Dan, Bryon Aragam, Pradeep Ravikumar, Eric Xing

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We develop a framework for learning sparse nonparametric directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) from data. Our approach is based on a recent algebraic characterization of DAGs that led to the first fully continuous optimization for score-based learning of DAG models parametrized by a linear structural equation model (SEM). We extend this algebraic characterization to nonparametric SEM by leveraging nonparametric sparsity based on partial derivatives, resulting in a continuous optimization problem that can be applied to a variety of nonparametric and semiparametric models including GLMs, additive noise models, and index models as special cases. Unlike existing approaches that require specific modeling choices, loss functions, or algorithms, we present a completely general framework that can be applied to general nonlinear models (e.g. without additive noise), general differentiable loss functions, and generic black-box optimization routines.

Poster
Learning Rate Adaptation for Differentially Private Learning

Antti Koskela, Antti Honkela

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Differentially private learning has recently emerged as the leading approach for privacy-preserving machine learning. Differential privacy can complicate learning procedures because each access to the data needs to be carefully designed and carries a privacy cost. For example, standard parameter tuning with a validation set cannot be easily applied. In this paper, we propose a differentially private algorithm for the adaptation of the learning rate for differentially private stochastic gradient descent (SGD) that avoids the need for validation set use. The idea for the adaptiveness comes from the technique of extrapolation in numerical analysis: to get an estimate for the error against the gradient flow we compare the result obtained by one full step and two half-steps. We prove the privacy of the method using the moments accountant mechanism. This allows us to compute tight privacy bounds. Empirically we show that our method is competitive with manually tuned commonly used optimisation methods for training deep neural networks and differentially private variational inference.

Poster
Learning Overlapping Representations for the Estimation of Individualized Treatment Effects

Yao Zhang, Alexis Bellot, Mihaela Schaar

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The choice of making an intervention depends on its potential benefit or harm in comparison to alternatives. Estimating the likely outcome of alternatives from observational data is a challenging problem as all outcomes are never observed, and selection bias precludes the direct comparison of differently intervened groups. Despite their empirical success, we show that algorithms that learn domain-invariant representations of inputs (on which to make predictions) are often inappropriate, and develop generalization bounds that demonstrate the dependence on domain overlap and highlight the need for invertible latent maps. Based on these results, we develop a deep kernel regression algorithm and posterior regularization framework that substantially outperforms the state-of-the-art on a variety of benchmarks data sets.

Poster
Learning Ising and Potts Models with Latent Variables

Surbhi Goel

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We study the problem of learning graphical models with latent variables. We give the {\em first} efficient algorithms for learning: 1) ferromagnetic Ising models with latent variables under {\em arbitrary} external fields, and 2) ferromagnetic Potts model with latent variables under unidirectional non-negative external field. Our algorithms have optimal dependence on the dimension but suffer from a sub-optimal dependence on the underlying sparsity of the graph.Our results rely on two structural properties of the underlying graphical models. These in turn allow us to design an influence function which can be maximized greedily to recover the structure of the underlying graphical model. These structural results may be of independent interest.

Poster
Learning High-dimensional Gaussian Graphical Models under Total Positivity without Adjustment of Tuning Parameters

Yuhao Wang, Uma Roy, Caroline Uhler

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We consider the problem of estimating an undirected Gaussian graphical model when the underlying distribution is multivariate totally positive of order 2 (MTP2), a strong form of positive dependence. Such distributions are relevant for example for portfolio selection, since assets are usually positively dependent. A large body of methods have been proposed for learning undirected graphical models without the MTP2 constraint. A major limitation of these methods is that their structure recovery guarantees in the high-dimensional setting usually require a particular choice of a tuning parameter, which is unknown a priori in real world applications. We here propose a new method to estimate the underlying undirected graphical model under MTP2 and show that it is provably consistent in structure recovery without adjusting the tuning parameters. This is achieved by a constraint-based estimator that infers the structure of the underlying graphical model by testing the signs of the empirical partial correlation coefficients. We evaluate the performance of our estimator in simulations and on financial data.

Poster
Learning Hierarchical Interactions at Scale: A Convex Optimization Approach

Hussein Hazimeh, Rahul Mazumder

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In many learning settings, it is beneficial to augment the main features with pairwise interactions. Such interaction models can be often enhanced by performing variable selection under the so-called strong hierarchy constraint: an interaction is non-zero only if its associated main features are non-zero. Existing convex optimization-based algorithms face difficulties in handling problems where the number of main features p   10^3 (with total number of features   p^2). In this paper, we study a convex relaxation which enforces strong hierarchy and develop a highly scalable algorithm based on proximal gradient descent. We introduce novel screening rules that allow for solving the complicated proximal problem in parallel. In addition, we introduce a specialized active-set strategy with gradient screening for avoiding costly gradient computations. The framework can handle problems having dense design matrices, with p = 50,000 (  10^9 interactions)—instances that are much larger than the state of the art. Experiments on real and synthetic data suggest that our toolkit hierScale outperforms the state of the art in terms of prediction and variable selection and can achieve over a 4900x speed-up.

Poster
Learning Gaussian Graphical Models via Multiplicative Weights

Anamay Chaturvedi, Jonathan Scarlett

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Graphical model selection in Markov random fields is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. Two particularly prominent models, the Ising model and Gaussian model, have largely developed in parallel using different (though often related) techniques, and several practical algorithms with rigorous sample complexity bounds have been established for each. In this paper, we adapt a recently proposed algorithm of Klivans and Meka (FOCS, 2017), based on the method of multiplicative weight updates, from the Ising model to the Gaussian model, via non-trivial modifications to both the algorithm and its analysis. The algorithm enjoys a sample complexity bound that is qualitatively similar to others in the literature, has a low runtime $O(mp^2)$ in the case of $m$ samples and $p$ nodes, and can trivially be implemented in an online manner.

Poster