AAAI 2026 Papers

AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence

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4,436papers

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Differentially Private Subspace Fine-Tuning for Large Language Models

Lele Zheng, Xiang Wang, Tao Zhang, Yang Cao, Ke Cheng, Yulong Shen

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Fine-tuning large language models on downstream tasks is crucial for realizing their cross-domain potential but often relies on sensitive data, raising privacy concerns. Differential privacy (DP) offers rigorous privacy guarantees and has been widely adopted in fine-tuning; however, naively injecting noise across the high-dimensional parameter space creates perturbations with large norms, degrading performance and destabilizing training. To address this issue, we propose DP-SFT, a two-stage subspace fine-tuning method that substantially reduces noise magnitude while preserving formal DP guarantees. Our intuition is that, during fine-tuning, significant parameter updates lie within a low-dimensional, task-specific subspace, while other directions change minimally. Hence, we only inject DP noise into this subspace to protect privacy without perturbing irrelevant parameters. In phase one, we identify the subspace by analyzing principal gradient directions to capture task-specific update signals. In phase two, we project full gradients onto this subspace, add DP noise, and map the perturbed gradients back to the original parameter space for model updates, markedly lowering noise impact. Experiments on multiple datasets demonstrate that DP-SFT enhances accuracy and stability under rigorous DP constraints, accelerates convergence, and achieves substantial gains over DP fine-tuning baselines.

Technical
HGLTR: Hierarchical Knowledge Injection for Calibrating Pre-trained Models in Long-Tail Recognition

Jinpeng Zheng, Shao-Yuan Li, Gan Xu, Wenhai Wan, Zijian Tao, Songcan Chen, Kangkan Wang

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Long-tail recognition remains challenging for pre-trained foundation models like CLIP, which often suffer from performance degradation under imbalanced data. This stems not only from the overfitting/underfitting issues during fine-tuning but, more fundamentally, from the inherent bias inherited from the long-tail distribution of their massive pre-training datasets. To address this, we propose HGLTR (Hierarchy-Guided Long-Tail Recognition), a novel framework that calibrates pre-trained models by injecting objective class hierarchy knowledge. We argue that the semantic proximity defined by a hierarchy provides a robust, data-independent prior to counteract model bias. Our method is specifically designed for vision-language models' dual-modality architecture. At the feature level, we align image embeddings with a hierarchy-guided text similarity structure. At the classifier level, we employ a distillation loss to regularize predictions using soft labels derived from the hierarchy. This dual-level injection effectively transfers knowledge from head to tail classes. Experiments on ImageNet-LT, Places-LT, and iNaturalist 2018 demonstrate that HGLTR achieves state-of-the-art performance, particularly in tail-classes accuracy, highlighting the importance of leveraging structural priors to calibrate foundation models for real-world data.

Technical
Distribution Shift Is Key to Learning Invariant Prediction

Hong Zheng, Fei Teng

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An interesting phenomenon arises: Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) sometimes outperforms methods specifically designed for out-of-distribution tasks. This motivates an investigation into the reasons behind such behavior beyond algorithmic design. In this study, we find that one such reason lies in the distribution shift across training domains. A large degree of distribution shift can lead to better performance even under ERM. Specifically, we derive several theoretical and empirical findings demonstrating that distribution shift plays a crucial role in model learning and benefits learning invariant prediction. Firstly, the proposed upper bounds indicate that the degree of distribution shift directly affects the prediction ability of the learned models. If it is large, the models’ ability can increase, approximating invariant prediction models that make stable predictions under arbitrary known or unseen domains; and vice versa. We also prove that, under certain data conditions, ERM solutions can achieve performance comparable to that of invariant prediction models. Secondly, the empirical validation results demonstrated that the predictions of learned models approximate those of Oracle or Optimal models, provided that the degree of distribution shift in the training data increases.

Technical
Graph VQ-Transformer (GVT): Fast and Accurate Molecular Generation via High-Fidelity Discrete Latents

Haozhuo Zheng, Cheng Wang, Yang Liu

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The de novo generation of molecules with desirable properties is a critical challenge, where diffusion models are computationally intensive and autoregressive models struggle with error propagation. In this work, we introduce the Graph VQ-Transformer (GVT), a two-stage generative framework that achieves both high accuracy and efficiency. The core of our approach is a novel Graph Vector Quantized Variational Autoencoder (VQ-VAE) that compresses molecular graphs into high-fidelity discrete latent sequences. By synergistically combining a Graph Transformer with canonical Reverse Cuthill-McKee (RCM) node ordering and Rotary Positional Embeddings (RoPE), our VQ-VAE achieves near-perfect reconstruction rates. An autoregressive Transformer is then trained on these discrete latents, effectively converting graph generation into a well-structured sequence modeling problem. Crucially, this mapping of complex graphs to high-fidelity discrete sequences bridges molecular design with the powerful paradigm of large-scale sequence modeling, unlocking potential synergies with Large Language Models (LLMs). Extensive experiments show that GVT achieves state-of-the-art or highly competitive performance across major benchmarks like ZINC250k, MOSES, and GuacaMol, and notably outperforms leading diffusion models on key distribution similarity metrics such as FCD and KL Divergence. With its superior performance, efficiency, and architectural novelty, GVT not only presents a compelling alternative to diffusion models but also establishes a strong new baseline for the field, paving the way for future research in discrete latent-space molecular generation.

Technical
Intra-Class Unbiased Prototype Aggregation and Classifier Collaboration for Personalized Federated Learning

Hao ZHENG, Shiyu Song, Zhigang Hu, Meiguang Zheng, Liu Yang, Aikun Xu, Rongchang Zhao, Ruizhi Pu, Ruiyi Fang, Boyu Wang

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Prototype-based personalized federated learning methods have emerged as a promising strategy due to their ability to represent client-specific class characteristics effectively through learned class prototypes. These prototypes capture salient features of client-local data, facilitating personalized model adaptation. However, existing prototype-based aggregation strategies predominantly rely on weighted averaging, implicitly assuming prototype consistency across clients. This assumption neglects the intrinsic heterogeneity and non-independent and identically distributed (non-IID) nature of client data, compelling diverse local prototypes to align toward a singular global prototype and consequently causing significant aggregation bias. Motivated by observations from intra-class feature saliency analysis, we identify that clients inherently emphasize distinct feature regions even for the same class. To leverage this intra-class diversity, we introduce FedIC, a novel prototype clustering and collaborative classifier optimization approach. Specifically, FedIC first clusters prototypes based on intra-class similarity to form intra-class prototype subspaces, ensuring that aggregation occurs exclusively within each cluster, thus eliminating the bias stemming from forced global unification. To further exploit the benefits of intra-cluster collaboration, we quantify the combined predictive gains of classifiers from clients within the same cluster as a function of classifier combination weights. This targeted aggregation and collaborative optimization strategy effectively circumvents the bias introduced by global alignment. Extensive experiments under various non-IID settings show that FedIC significantly outperforms existing Prototype-based and Clustered PFL Methods.

Technical
SpecQuant: Spectral Decomposition and Adaptive Truncation for Ultra-Low-Bit LLMs Quantization

Zhixiong Zhao, Fangxin Liu, Junjie Wang, Chenyang Guan, Zongwu Wang, Li Jiang, Haibing Guan

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The emergence of accurate open large language models (LLMs) has sparked a push for advanced quantization techniques to enable efficient deployment on end-user devices. In this paper, we revisit the challenge of extreme LLM compression---targeting ultra-low-bit quantization for both activations and weights---from a Fourier frequency domain perspective. We propose SpecQuant, a two-stage framework that tackles activation outliers and cross-channel variance. In the first stage, activation outliers are smoothed and transferred into the weight matrix to simplify downstream quantization. In the second stage, we apply channel-wise low-frequency Fourier truncation to suppress high-frequency components while preserving essential signal energy, improving quantization robustness. Our method builds on the principle that most of the weight energy is concentrated in low-frequency components, which can be retained with minimal impact on model accuracy. To enable runtime adaptability, we introduce a lightweight truncation module during inference that adjusts truncation thresholds based on channel characteristics. On LLaMA-3 8B, SpecQuant achieves 4-bit quantization for both weights and activations, narrowing the zero-shot accuracy gap to only 1.5% compared to full precision, while delivering 2× faster inference and 3× lower memory usage.

Technical
Drift Estimation for Diffusion Processes Using Neural Networks Based on Discretely Observed Independent Paths

Yuzhen Zhao, Yating Liu, Marc Hoffmann

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This paper addresses the nonparametric estimation of the drift function over a compact domain for a time-homogeneous diffusion process, based on high-frequency discrete observations from N independent trajectories. We propose a neural network-based estimator and derive a non-asymptotic convergence rate, decomposed into a training error, an approximation error, and a diffusion-related term scaling as log N/N. For compositional drift functions, we establish an explicit rate. In the numerical experiments, we consider a drift function with local fluctuations generated by a double-layer compositional structure featuring local oscillations, and show that the empirical convergence rate becomes independent of the input dimension d. Compared to the B-spline method, the neural network estimator achieves better convergence rates and more effectively captures local features, particularly in higher-dimensional settings.

Technical
Adaptive Evolutionary Fusion for Multi-View Clustering

Yunxiao Zhao, Liang Bai, Xian Yang

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Deep multi-view clustering (MVC) methods achieve impressive performance by effectively capturing complementary information across views, where feature fusion serves as the critical mechanism for maximizing cross-view complementarity. However, most existing methods suffer from rigid dependence on non-adaptive predefined fusion operations, resulting in unverifiable and potentially suboptimal fused feature quality. To resolve these limitations, we propose a novel multi-view clustering framework that learns adaptive hierarchical fusion through an unsupervised evolutionary algorithm. Unlike conventional predefined-fusion strategies, our approach employs tree-structured representations (Fusion Trees) for adaptive feature integration. These Fusion Trees are optimized via our evolutionary mechanism, in which models sharing identical architectures but distinct Fusion Trees are conceptualized as evolutionary individuals. Through implementation of the evolutionarily optimized Fusion Tree, the resultant model generates discriminative representations in accordance with biological evolutionary principles. Comprehensive benchmarking across twelve multi-view datasets validates significant performance gains improvement over state-of-the-art baselines.

Technical
Divide, Conquer and Unite: Hierarchical Style-Recalibrated Prototype Alignment for Federated Medical Segmentation

Xingyue Zhao, Wenke Huang, Xingguang Wang, Haoyu Zhao, Linghao Zhuang, Anwen Jiang, Guancheng Wan, Mang Ye

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Federated learning enables multiple medical institutions to train a global model without sharing data, yet feature heterogeneity from diverse scanners or protocols remains a major challenge. Many existing works attempt to address this issue by leveraging model representations (e.g., mean feature vectors) to correct local training; however, they often face two key limitations: 1) Incomplete Contextual Representation Learning: Current approaches primarily focus on final-layer features, overlooking critical multi-level cues and thus diluting essential context for accurate segmentation. 2) Layerwise Style Bias Accumulation: Although utilizing representations can partially align global features, these methods neglect domain-specific biases within intermediate layers, allowing style discrepancies to build up and reduce model robustness. To address these challenges, we propose FedBCS to bridge feature representation gaps via domain-invariant contextual prototypes alignment. Specifically, we introduce a frequency-domain adaptive style recalibration into prototype construction that not only decouples content-style representations but also learns optimal style parameters, enabling more robust domain-invariant prototypes. Furthermore, we design a context-aware dual-level prototype alignment method that extracts domain-invariant prototypes from different layers of both encoder and decoder and fuses them with contextual information for finer-grained representation alignment. Extensive experiments on two public datasets demonstrate that our method exhibits remarkable performance.

Technical
Pareto-Based Heterogeneous Knowledge Distillation for MLPs on Graphs

Wenrui Zhao, Yijun Tian, Zhichao Xu, Yawei Wang, Chuxu Zhang

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Heterogeneous Graph Neural Networks (HGNNs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities in capturing effective information in heterogeneous graphs, achieving outstanding performance in various learning tasks. However, the heavy dependency of HGNNs on neighbors information may result in high latency, which restricts their practicality in real-world applications. Recent studies have attempted to overcome such latency in Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) by distilling knowledge into student models that do not rely on graph structure. But these approaches primarily focus on replicating teachers' predictive outcomes while neglecting the structural knowledge they encoded. This limitation makes such approach less effective when graphs become complex, particularly on heterogeneous graphs. Motivated by this challenge, we propose HGKD, a novel hierarchical knowledge distillation framework that transfers both structural knowledge and predictive outcomes from HGNN teachers to a multi-layer perceptron student. Additionally, we provide two variants of HGKD that help the student learn from multiple teacher models through Pareto learning and incorporate low-cost neighbor information. We evaluate HGKD and its variants on a range of heterogeneous graph datasets. The results demonstrate that our student model achieves performance comparable to or exceeding that of HGNN teachers, despite not relying on graph structures during inference.

Technical
Multi-granularity Temporal Knowledge Editing over Large Language Models

Simiao Zhao, Ning Pang, Zhen Tan, Yanli Hu, Weidong Xiao, Xiang Zhao

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The evolving worldly dynamics necessitate continuous revision and updating of knowledge within Large Language Models (LLMs), driving the development of Knowledge Editing (KE) techniques. Recently, a novel paradigm of Temporal Knowledge Editing (TKE) has been proposed, emphasizing that models deployed in dynamic environments should integrate new information while retaining historical knowledge. However, we observe that current definitions and methods for TKE are insufficient, as they do not effectively capture or adapt to the fine-grained temporal dynamics inherent in real-world knowledge evolution. In this paper, we introduce the notion of multi-granularity TKE, encompassing temporal knowledge across yearly, monthly, and daily granularities, and propose a corresponding dataset, named MTKE. We argue that comprehending and retaining knowledge across different temporal granularities is crucial for LLMs to accurately reflect real-world changes. The key challenge lies in integrating new temporal knowledge at various granularities while also preserving relevant historical knowledge, thus ensuring LLMs maintain a consistent and accurate understanding over time. To achieve this, we propose a Sparse Parameter-Injected Knowledge Editing method, dubbed SPIKE, which anchors both temporal knowledge and subject positions within the model. Experiments demonstrate that our method effectively preserves historical knowledge performance while accurately incorporating dynamic temporal knowledge across multi-granularity temporal scenarios.

Technical
Multi-knowledge Enhanced Graph Neural Network for Multi-trait Essay Scoring

Shiman Zhao, Siyuan Liu, Zhiqi Shen

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Multi-trait Essay Scoring (MES) aims to evaluate the quality of essays across multiple traits (e.g., Language, Content, and Organization). The task can be summarized into three crucial steps: essay content encoding, trait feature learning, and multi-trait scoring. However, previous methods fall short in these steps due to neglecting essential scoring-oriented knowledge, leading to suboptimal performance. To solve these issues, we propose a novel multi-trait scoring framework with multi-knowledge enhancement. Specifically, linguistic knowledge is used to model syntactic structural relations between words, highlighting structurally-informed essay encoding. We learn trait knowledge by capturing the knowledge dependencies between traits to enhance trait-specific features. Further, score-aware ordinal knowledge is integrated to promote ordinal alignment in trait-specific features associated with score rankings, improving scoring performance. Extensive experiments show that our proposed method achieves significant performance.

Technical
HitKV: Activation Frequency Knows Which Tokens Are Important

Sanle Zhao, Yujuan Tan, Yu Jing, Zhuoxin Bai, Yue Niu, Jiayi Guo, Zongjie Wang, Ao Ren

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The demand for long-context processing in large language models (LLMs) continues to escalate alongside rapid advancements in their capabilities. However, the intermediate attention keys and values (KV cache) employed to avoid re-computations, also grow linearly with sequence length, far exceeding the memory capacity of consumer-grade GPUs. Consequently, many studies have proposed KV cache compression methods that evict unimportant tokens based on variant attention scoring strategies. These methods typically retain the KV pairs of the top-k scoring tokens under a fixed memory budget. However, they still face several limitations. First, they disregard the activation frequency of tokens, specifically the count of times tokens achieve top-k scores in the attention distribution of following tokens. The methods based on variant attention scores may incorrectly evict some high-activation-frequency yet low final-scoring tokens. Second, the activation frequency exhibits different distribution patterns across layers and tasks. Neglecting these differences negatively impacts model performance and task adaptability. Our analysis of the actual token activation frequency and its unique characteristics across layers and task types reveals potential opportunities to address these issues. In this paper, we propose HitKV, which employs hit rates to directly characterize token activation frequencies, enabling adaptive layer-aware and task-aware KV cache eviction under the uniform memory allocation strategies. Also, HitKV can be easily integrated into layer-specific memory allocation methods. Experimental results demonstrate that HitKV maintains model performance with preserving only 3% of the KV cache, achieves high-quality generation outputs in long-text generation tasks, and delivers 4× throughput improvement over baselines.

Technical
Break the Tie: Learning Cluster-Customized Category Relationships for Categorical Data Clustering

Mingjie Zhao, Zhanpei Huang, Yang Lu, Mengke Li, Yiqun Zhang, Weifeng Su, Yiu-ming Cheung

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Categorical attributes with qualitative values are ubiquitous in cluster analysis of real datasets. Unlike the Euclidean distance of numerical attributes, the categorical attributes lack well-defined relationships of their possible values (also called categories interchangeably), which hampers the exploration of compact categorical data clusters. Although most attempts are made for developing appropriate distance metrics, they typically assume a fixed topological relationship between categories when learning distance metrics, which limits their adaptability to varying cluster structures and often leads to suboptimal clustering performance. This paper, therefore, breaks the intrinsic relationship tie of attribute categories and learns customized distance metrics suitable for flexibly and accurately revealing various cluster distributions. As a result, the fitting ability of the clustering algorithm is significantly enhanced, benefiting from the learnable category relationships. Moreover, the learned category relationships are proved to be Euclidean distance metric-compatible, enabling a seamless extension to mixed datasets that include both numerical and categorical attributes. Comparative experiments on 12 real benchmark datasets with significance tests show the superior clustering accuracy of the proposed method with an average ranking of 1.25, which is significantly higher than the 5.21 ranking of the best-performing methods. Code and extended version with detailed proofs are provided online.

Technical
KNNDA: A New Perspective of Alignment Recovery for Partially View-Aligned Clustering

Liang Zhao, Tianqi Yue, Shubin Ma, Ziyue Wang, Zhiyuan Liu, bo xu

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In multi-view clustering (MVC), complementary and consistent information from multiple views is integrated to improve clustering performance. However, inter-view sample correspondences may be partially missing in practice, making it difficult to learn cross-view consistency, which leads to the partially view-aligned problem (PVP). Most existing partially view-aligned clustering (PVC) methods first learn cross-view consistent representations based on known alignments, and then recover missing correspondences by measuring cross-view similarity between samples. However, such an indirect alignment recovery process depends on high-quality consistent representations and lacks effective utilization of known alignments, often resulting in sub-optimal outcomes. To address this, we propose a novel direct alignment recovery perspective, instantiated as K-Nearest Neighbors Direct Alignment (KNNDA). Specifically, we first construct an alignment domain by mapping the aligned neighbors of each unaligned sample into the aligned view. Then, we compute alignment confidence based on the similarity between known aligned pairs of neighbors. In particular, we use a dynamic threshold to filter out unreliable alignments. Finally, new alignments are generated within the high-confidence alignment domain. Contrastive loss is used to learn consistent representations for clustering. Comprehensive experiments on several real-world datasets show the effectiveness and superiority of our module in partially view-aligned clustering.

Technical
Shared & Domain Self-Adaptive Experts with Frequency-Aware Discrimination for Continual Test-Time Adaptation

Jianchao Zhao, Chenhao Ding, SongLin Dong, Jiangyang Li, Qiang Wang, Yuhang He, Yihong Gong

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This paper focuses on the Continual Test-Time Adaptation (CTTA) task, aiming to enable an agent to continuously adapt to evolving target domains while retaining previously acquired domain knowledge for effective reuse when those domains reappear. Existing shared-parameter paradigms struggle to balance adaptation and forgetting, leading to decreased efficiency and stability. To address this, we propose a frequency-aware shared and self-adaptive expert framework, consisting of two key components: (i) a dual-branch expert architecture that extracts general features and dynamically models domain-specific representations, effectively reducing cross-domain interference and repetitive learning cost; and (ii) an online Frequency-aware Domain Discriminator (FDD), which leverages the robustness of low-frequency image signals for online domain shift detection, guiding dynamic allocation of expert resources for more stable and realistic adaptation. Additionally, we introduce a Continual Repeated Shifts (CRS) benchmark to simulate periodic domain changes for more realistic evaluation. Experimental results show that our method consistently outperforms existing approaches on both classification and segmentation CTTA tasks under standard and CRS settings, with ablations and visualizations confirming its effectiveness and robustness.

Technical
Differentiable Sparse Identification of Lagrangian Dynamics

Zitong Zhang, Hao Sun

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Data-driven discovery of governing equations from data remains a fundamental challenge in nonlinear dynamics. Although sparse regression techniques have advanced system identification, they struggle with rational functions and noise sensitivity in complex mechanical systems. The Lagrangian formalism offers a promising alternative, as it typically avoids rational expressions and provides a more concise representation of system dynamics. However, existing Lagrangian identification methods are significantly affected by measurement noise and limited data availability. This paper presents a novel differentiable sparse identification framework that addresses these limitations through three key contributions: (1) the first integration of cubic B-Spline approximation into Lagrangian system identification, enabling accurate representation of complex nonlinearities, (2) a robust equation discovery mechanism that effectively utilizes measurements while incorporating known physical constraints, (3) a recursive derivative computation scheme based on B-spline basis functions, effectively constraining higher-order derivatives and reducing noise sensitivity on second-order dynamical systems. The proposed method demonstrates superior performance and enables more accurate and reliable extraction of physical laws from noisy data, particularly in complex mechanical systems compared to baseline methods.

Technical
FedSEA-LLaMA: A Secure, Efficient and Adaptive Federated Splitting Framework for Large Language Models

Zishuai Zhang, Hainan Zhang, Weihua Li, Qinnan Zhang, Jin Dong, Yongxin Tong, Zhiming Zheng

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Private data holds promise for improving LLMs due to its high quality, but its scattered distribution across data silos and the high computational demands of LLMs limit their deployment in federated environments. To address this, the transformer-based federated split models are proposed, which offload most model parameters to the server (or distributed clients) while retaining only a small portion on the client to ensure data privacy. Despite this design, they still face three challenges: 1) Peer-to-peer key encryption struggles to secure transmitted vectors effectively; 2) The auto-regressive nature of LLMs means that federated split learning can only train and infer sequentially, causing high communication overhead; 3) Fixed partition points lack adaptability to downstream tasks. In this paper, we introduce FedSEA-LLaMA, a Secure, Efficient, and Adaptive Federated splitting framework based on LLaMA2. First, we inject Gaussian noise into forward-pass hidden states to enable secure end-to-end vector transmission. Second, we employ attention-mask compression and KV cache collaboration to reduce communication costs, accelerating training and inference. Third, we allow users to dynamically adjust the partition points for input/output blocks based on specific task requirements. Experiments on natural language understanding, summarization, and conversational QA tasks show that FedSEA-LLaMA maintains performance comparable to centralized LLaMA2 and achieves up to 8× speedups in training and inference. Further analysis of privacy attacks and different partition points also demonstrates the effectiveness of FedSEA-LLaMA in security and adaptability.

Technical
PatchET: Learning Enzyme Temperature Properties Through Patch-Based Neural Architectures

Ziqi Zhang, Runze Yang, Longbing Cao, Zhaohong Deng

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Understanding enzyme thermal properties is essential for biotechnology and protein engineering, yet experimental measurements of attributes such as temperature optimum, stability, and range remain labor-intensive and costly. Prior studies have shown that specific regions within enzyme sequences disproportionately influence thermal behavior—an aspect often overlooked by existing deep learning models. In this work, we introduce PatchET, a biologically inspired deep learning model that predicts enzyme thermal properties directly from amino acid sequences. PatchET employs a dual-stage, patch-based architecture that captures both intra-patch local features and inter-patch global dependencies, reflecting the hierarchical nature of protein thermal adaptation. Alongside the model, we curate a comprehensive benchmark, including a refined dataset for temperature optimum and the first publicly available dataset for temperature range prediction. PatchET achieves state-of-the-art performance across three key tasks—temperature optimum, stability, and range—and serves as the first dedicated model for temperature range prediction. Extensive ablation studies further validate the effectiveness of our architectural design. Together, PatchET and the accompanying benchmark provide a unified and generalizable framework for modeling enzyme thermal properties, offering new tools for the rational design of thermostable enzymes.

Technical
Minimum-Length Conformal Prediction Sets for Ordinal Classification

Zijian Zhang, Xinyu Chen, Yuanjie Shi, Liyuan Lillian Ma, Zifan Xu, Yan Yan

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Ordinal classification has been widely applied in many high-stakes applications, e.g., medical imaging and diagnosis, where reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for decision making. Conformal prediction (CP) is a general UQ framework that provides statistically valid guarantees, which is especially useful in practice. However, prior ordinal CP methods mainly focus on heuristic algorithms or restrictively require the underlying model to predict a unimodal distribution over ordinal labels. Consequently, they provide limited insight into coverage–efficiency trade-offs, or a model-agnostic and distribution-free nature favored by CP methods. To this end, we fill this gap by propose an ordinal-CP method that is model-agnostic and provides instance-level optimal prediction intervals. Specifically, we formulate conformal ordinal classification as a minimum-length covering problem at the instance level. To solve this problem, we develop a sliding-window algorithm that is optimal on each calibration data, with only a linear time complexity in K, the # of label candidates. The local optimality per instance further also improves predictive efficiency in expectation. Moreover, we propose a length-regularized variant that shrinks prediction set size while preserving coverage. Experiments on four benchmark datasets from diverse domains are conducted to demonstrate the significantly improved predictive efficiency of the proposed methods over baselines (by 15%↓ on average over four datasets).

Technical